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Displaying AFOS PIL: TCDEP1 Product Timestamp: 1997-09-20 08:26 UTC
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000 TTAA00 KNHC 200826 HURRICANE NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SAT SEP 20 1997 NORA HAS A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH A FAIR OUTFLOW. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS BASICALLY DEFINED BY BANDING FEATURES AND NO EYE. SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW THAT DEEP CONVECTION IS MINIMAL AT THIS TIME AND T-NUMBERS ARE BETWEEN 4.0 AND 4.5 SO...WINDS HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED TO 70 KT. THERE IS GOOD POSSIBILITY THAT NORA WILL REGAIN SOME STRENGTH AS SOON AS IT MOVES OVER THE ABOVE NORMAL WARM WATERS WHICH HAVE PREVAILED TO THE SOUTH OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. HOWEVER... THERE MIGHT BE SOME POCKETS OF COOL WATER IN THIS AREA LEFT BY POWERFUL LINDA A FEW DAYS AGO. NORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AT 4 KNOTS. MODELS...INCLUDING THE AVN...ARE IN BETTER AGREEMENT THIS MORNING. THEY MOVE NORA TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND THEN NORTH AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF A PERSISTENT HIGH OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES. ON THIS TRACK...NORA SHOULD BE NEAR THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA BY 72 HOURS. RESIDENTS IN THIS AREA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF NORA. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/0900Z 15.2N 105.0W 70 KTS 12HR VT 20/1800Z 15.6N 105.5W 70 KTS 24HR VT 21/0600Z 16.5N 106.5W 80 KTS 36HR VT 21/1800Z 18.0N 107.5W 85 KTS 48HR VT 22/0600Z 19.5N 109.0W 90 KTS 72HR VT 23/0600Z 22.5N 110.0W 90 KTS