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Displaying AFOS PIL: SWODY1 Product Timestamp: 1997-03-02 18:07 UTC
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828 ACUS1 KMKC 021807 SWODY1 MKC AC 021807 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AFOS NMCGPH94O. VALID 021900Z - 031200Z REF WW NUMBER 85...VALID TIL 2200Z THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SVR TSTMS THIS AFTN AND TONIGHT ACRS A LARGE PART OF LA...MUCH OF CNTRL AND SRN MS...AND MUCH OF WRN AND CNTRL AL...TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM MSY LFT 20 S POE 45 NNW POE MLU GWO 35 E TUP GAD ANB MGM MOB MSY. SURROUNDING THE HIGH RISK AREA...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW BPT LFK GGG ELD 25 N GLH 40 NNW TUP CSV HSS GSO 35 NW RWI 20 E ECG ...CONT... 25 E SAV MGR PFN. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NE GLS 15 W LFK 35 SSW TYR FTW ADM FSM BWG HTS SHD 20 E SBY ...CONT... MLB SRQ. POTENT...AND POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS SEVERE WEATHER EVENT STILL EVOLVING OVER PARTS OF THE LWR MS VLY AND CNTRL GULF COAST STATES. VERY MOIST AMS WITH SFC DWPNTS ARND 70F CONT TO ADVECT OFF THE GLFMEX...AHEAD OF DEEPENING SFC LOW CURRENTLY /18Z/ LOCATED OVER SE TX. MODELS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH VIGOROUS UPR LOW/TROF OVER CNTRL TX ACLTG ENEWD LATE THIS AFTN AND TONIGHT...REACHING MIDDLE TN/AL BY 03/12Z. PRONOUNCED MID-LEVEL COOLING/DRYING ASSOCD WITH THIS SYS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO STG CNVTV INSTBY LATE THIS AFTN AND EVE ACRS PORTIONS OF LA/MS/AL...WHERE LTST SFC DATA SUG CAPE ALREADY AS HIGH AS 2000 J/KG. GIVEN INSTBY...STG DYNAMIC FORCING EXPCD TO SUPPORT DEVELOPMENT OF NMRS STG/SVR TSTMS LATE THIS AFTN AND TONIGHT...ESPY INVOF QSTNRY BDRY EXTENDING EWD FM LOW ACRS CNTRL GULF COAST STATES INTO THE CAROLINAS. BACKED SFC FLOW INVOF LOW/FRONT...AND 30 TO 50 KT SSWLY LLJ...WILL RESULT IN MDTLY STG AND VEERING LOW-LEVEL WIND PROFILES BENEATH STG CYC MID/UPR LEVEL JET PROPAGATING ACRS HIGH RISK AREA. THUS...HODOGRAPHS EXPCD TO BE QUITE FVRBL FOR TORNADIC SUPERCELLS IN ADDITION TO VERY LARGE HAIL/DMGG WINDS. ACTIVITY EXPCD TO INCREASE SGFNTLY ACRS LA/MS THIS AFTN...SPREADING INTO PORTIONS OF AL/GA DURING THE EVE HOURS...AND PSBLY AS FAR EAST AS CAROLINAS BY THE END OF THE FCST PERIOD. ..KERR.. 03/02/97