National Weather Service Raw Text Product

000 
ACUS1 KMKC 130944     COR
MKC AC 130945  COR

CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AFOS NMCGPH94O

VALID 131200 - 141200Z

THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TODAY AND TNGT FOR MUCH OF
IA...OK...CNTRL AND ERN KS...WRN AND NRN MO...PTNS OF ERN NE
AND XTRM SERN SD.  THE MDT RISK AREA IS TO THE RGT OF A LN
RSL EAR YKN FSD DBQ MLI COU MLC ADM LAW CSM RSL.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS SURROUNDING THE MDT AREA TO
THE RGT OF A LN FM CDS DDC EAR YKN BKX STC AUW MTW CGX STL HOT
GGG TPL 20 SW ABI CDS.

GEN TSTMS FCST TO THE RGT OF A LN 60 SW P07 REE VTN PIR ABR
DLH SSM SYR BGM PIT DAY EVV MEM 30 S LFT.

MODELS INDC SHRTWV TROF ROTG ARND BASE OF LNGWV TROF OVR THE
WRN U.S. AND LFTG RAPIDLY NEWD ACRS THE CNTRL PLAINS INTO THE
UPR MS VLY DURG PD.  SFC LO IS FCST TO DVLP OVR WRN KS AND DPN
RAPIDLY AS IT MOVS NEWD ACRS THE CNTRL PLAINS TO SRN MN DURG THE
PD.  STG 500 MB WND MAX OF 100 KTS IS FCST TO MOV FM SRN AZ AT
13/12Z TO THE TX PNHNDL AT 14/00Z TO WRN IA BY 14/12Z.  AS
SHRTWV TROF LFTS NEWD ACRS THE PLAINS...LRG AREA OF UPR DIFFLUENCE
IS EXPCD TO OCCUR FM OK/KS TO NE/IA.  STG SLY 850 MB JET OF 50 KTS IS
ALSO FCST TO BE CNTRD OVR WRN MO BY 14/00Z.   AMS IS FCST TO BE
UNSTBL WITH LIS OF -6 TO -8 XPCD ACRS THE CNTRL PLAINS/MID MS VLY.
SVR TSTM ACTVTY IS LIKELY TO DVLP ALG DRYLN ACRS NRN TX/WRN OK AND
INTENSIFY AND MOV RAPIDLY NNEWD AS 500 MB WND MAX ENHANCES UVV.
HI VERT DIR SHEAR WHR LO LVL/UPR LVL JETS INTERSECT AND STG DRY AIR
INTRUDES SUG TORNADO ACTVTY LIKELY OVR THE MDT AREA.

A PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED BY SELS BY 10Z.

..SMITH.. 03/13/90