National Weather Service Raw Text Product

000 
ACUS1 KMKC 220645 
MKC AC 220700  
 
CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AFOS NMCGPH94O 
 
VALID 221200 - 231200Z  
 
THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SVR TSTMS FOR MOST OF OK AND PTNS OF  
WRN AND NRN TX TO THE RT OF A LN FM DRT 60 W CDS PNC BVO  
FSM PGO TYR TPL DRT.  
 
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RT OF A LN FM 60 W 
CDS DDC RSL SLN SGF HOT POE BPT VCT COT DRT TPL TYR FSM BVO 
PNC 60 W CDS. 
 
TSTMS ARE EXPCD TO APCH SVR LIMITS TO THE RT OF A LN FM 40 SW 
IPL 20 N PHX TCS ELP. 
 
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RT OF A LN FM LAX EDW 80 NW LAS CDC 
FMN RTN GLD MHE RWF DBQ HUF EVV GWO 40 S HUM. 
 
POT EXISTS FOR MAJOR OUTBREAK OF SVR TSTMS OVR PTNS OF THE SRN  
PLAINS LT THIS AFTN AND TNT AS VIGOROUS SHRTWV TROF MOVES ACRS RGN. 
ALL 3 MODELS CLOSELY AGREE ON MOVMT AND STRENGTH OF UPR SYS.  
MODELS DRIVE UPR TROF EWD ACRS SRN RCKYS DURG THE DAY WITH SYS  
BCMG MORE NEGATIVLEY TILTED AS IT LIFTS RPDLY NEWD BY THE END OF  
THE PD. 
 
UPR DIFLUENT PAT WILL BE GREATLY ENHNCD OVR N TX/SRN OK AS UPR  
FLOW BACKS AHD OF APCHG SHRTWV.  LOW LVL MSTR ALREADY IN PLACE  
OVR TX AND SHUD INCR AND SPREAD NWD AS SFC LOW DEEPENS. 
INSTABILITY LOOKS VERY STG WITH LFM MAX LI VALUES PROGD TO RCH  
-8 TO -10 OVR THE RED RVR VALLEY BY ERY TONITE. 
 
EXPC TSTM ACTVTY TO BGN ALG DRY LN/CD FNT OVR ERN PTNS OF W TX  
LT THIS AFTN AT MAX SFC HEATING AND AS LEFT FNT QUAD OF JET MAX 
MOVES INTO THE WRM SECTOR.  STGST TSTMS SHUD THEN DVLP NEWD ACRS  
NRN TX AND THRU ERN OK AS UPR SHRTWV ROTS NEWD. 
 
ISOLD TSTMS MAY APCH SVR LIMITS WITH SOME SML HAIL AND GUSTY SFC  
WINDS OVR PTNS OF THE SW IN VERY CD POOL ALOFT. 
 
 
 
..JULY.. 03/22/87