National Weather Service Raw Text Product

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PIL:
Start UTC Date @0z:
End UTC Date @0z:
165 
ACUS11 KWNS 081944
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 081943 COR
TXZ000-082045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0856
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0243 PM CDT THU MAY 08 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN AND CENTRAL TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 081943Z - 082045Z

CORRECTED FOR  UGC CODE

...TORNADO WATCH MIGHT BE NEEDED BY 300-400 PM... 


DRYLINE AT 19Z EXTENDS FROM SW OF LTS SWWD ALONG A LINE TO NEAR  ABI
AND SJT. AS SURFACE LOW MOVES EWD INTO CENTRAL KS...DRYLINE WILL
MOVE EWD AND IS FORECAST TO EXTEND FROM ABOUT 50 E OF SPS TO NEAR
JCT BY 22Z. TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED INTO THE LOWER 90S EAST OF THE
DRYLINE. THESE TEMPERATURES WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER 70S ARE
RESULTING IN MLCAPES BETWEEN 3000 TO 3500 J/KG. THE 18Z OUN SOUNDING
SHOWED THE CAP WOULD BE BROKEN WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE MID
80S....BUT MORE HEATING IS REQUIRED ACROSS NRN TX WHERE THE UPPER
FORCING IS WEAKER AND THE CAP IS STRONGER. SOME CUMULUS CLOUDS HAVE
RECENTLY DEVELOPED NEAR ABI AND SPS AND EXPECT THESE  WILL INCREASE
AS THE DRYLINE MOVES EWD INTO DEEPER BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE. WITH A
LITTLE MORE HEATING...THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP...THOUGH THEY MAY
BE MORE ISOLATED THAN FURTHER NORTH. HOWEVER...THE STRONG
INSTABILITY AND 40 KT DEEP LAYER SHEAR WOULD SUPPORT SUPERCELLS.
ONCE IT BECOMES APPEARS THAT THE CAP WILL BE BROKEN...A WW WOULD BE
ISSUED	     

..IMY.. 05/08/2003

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...EWX...SJT...

30649944 31060020 32329956 33349893 33939849 33959820
33589707 32849667 31129740 30649845 
000 
ACUS11 KWNS 081944
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 081943 COR
TXZ000-082045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0856
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0243 PM CDT THU MAY 08 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN AND CENTRAL TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 081943Z - 082045Z

CORRECTED FOR  UGC CODE

...TORNADO WATCH MIGHT BE NEEDED BY 300-400 PM... 


DRYLINE AT 19Z EXTENDS FROM SW OF LTS SWWD ALONG A LINE TO NEAR  ABI
AND SJT. AS SURFACE LOW MOVES EWD INTO CENTRAL KS...DRYLINE WILL
MOVE EWD AND IS FORECAST TO EXTEND FROM ABOUT 50 E OF SPS TO NEAR
JCT BY 22Z. TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED INTO THE LOWER 90S EAST OF THE
DRYLINE. THESE TEMPERATURES WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER 70S ARE
RESULTING IN MLCAPES BETWEEN 3000 TO 3500 J/KG. THE 18Z OUN SOUNDING
SHOWED THE CAP WOULD BE BROKEN WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE MID
80S....BUT MORE HEATING IS REQUIRED ACROSS NRN TX WHERE THE UPPER
FORCING IS WEAKER AND THE CAP IS STRONGER. SOME CUMULUS CLOUDS HAVE
RECENTLY DEVELOPED NEAR ABI AND SPS AND EXPECT THESE  WILL INCREASE
AS THE DRYLINE MOVES EWD INTO DEEPER BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE. WITH A
LITTLE MORE HEATING...THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP...THOUGH THEY MAY
BE MORE ISOLATED THAN FURTHER NORTH. HOWEVER...THE STRONG
INSTABILITY AND 40 KT DEEP LAYER SHEAR WOULD SUPPORT SUPERCELLS.
ONCE IT BECOMES APPEARS THAT THE CAP WILL BE BROKEN...A WW WOULD BE
ISSUED	     

..IMY.. 05/08/2003

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...EWX...SJT...

30649944 31060020 32329956 33349893 33939849 33959820
33589707 32849667 31129740 30649845