National Weather Service Raw Text Product

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PIL:
Start UTC Date @0z:
End UTC Date @0z:
165 
ACUS11 KWNS 061556
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 061555 
OHZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-061800-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0788
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1055 AM CDT TUE MAY 06 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN IN/SRN OH

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 061555Z - 061800Z

ELEVATED CONVECTION OVER SRN IL WILL LIKELY EXPAND EWD ACROSS SRN
IND AND INTO SRN OH OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. ACTIVITY WILL HAVE A
POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL. WW MAY BE NECESSARY ACROSS SRN IN AND
SRN/CENTRAL OH BY 17Z.

SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WAS PRESENT ACROSS SRN IN AND CNTRL OH. AXIS
OF MID 60S F DEWPOINTS WAS AHEAD OF THE FRONT FROM WRN KY EXTENDING
NEWD INTO SWRN OH AT 15Z. MARGINAL INSTABILITY EXISTED ALONG MOIST
AXIS WITH MLCAPE OF 500 TO 750 J/KG. AS CONVERGENCE INCREASES ALONG
AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT...CONVECTION WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE ENEWD
ACROSS SRN IN AND SRN OH. FORECAST SOUNDINGS AT ILN INDICATED THE
CONVECTION WILL BE ELEVATED WITH UPDRAFT PARCELS STARTING AROUND 800
MB. DEEP LAYER SHEAR OF 40 TO 50 KNOTS ARE FAVORABLE FOR STORM
ORGANIZATION. 500 MB TEMPS OF -14C TO -16C INDICATED LARGE HAIL WILL
BE THE PRIMARY THREAT.

..BROYLES.. 05/06/2003

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PBZ...RLX...CLE...ILN...LMK...IND...

38078666 39328687 40208460 40438194 39538158 38648362
38158543 
000 
ACUS11 KWNS 061556
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 061555 
OHZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-061800-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0788
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1055 AM CDT TUE MAY 06 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN IN/SRN OH

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 061555Z - 061800Z

ELEVATED CONVECTION OVER SRN IL WILL LIKELY EXPAND EWD ACROSS SRN
IND AND INTO SRN OH OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. ACTIVITY WILL HAVE A
POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL. WW MAY BE NECESSARY ACROSS SRN IN AND
SRN/CENTRAL OH BY 17Z.

SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WAS PRESENT ACROSS SRN IN AND CNTRL OH. AXIS
OF MID 60S F DEWPOINTS WAS AHEAD OF THE FRONT FROM WRN KY EXTENDING
NEWD INTO SWRN OH AT 15Z. MARGINAL INSTABILITY EXISTED ALONG MOIST
AXIS WITH MLCAPE OF 500 TO 750 J/KG. AS CONVERGENCE INCREASES ALONG
AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT...CONVECTION WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE ENEWD
ACROSS SRN IN AND SRN OH. FORECAST SOUNDINGS AT ILN INDICATED THE
CONVECTION WILL BE ELEVATED WITH UPDRAFT PARCELS STARTING AROUND 800
MB. DEEP LAYER SHEAR OF 40 TO 50 KNOTS ARE FAVORABLE FOR STORM
ORGANIZATION. 500 MB TEMPS OF -14C TO -16C INDICATED LARGE HAIL WILL
BE THE PRIMARY THREAT.

..BROYLES.. 05/06/2003

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PBZ...RLX...CLE...ILN...LMK...IND...

38078666 39328687 40208460 40438194 39538158 38648362
38158543