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Displaying AFOS PIL: SWOMCD Product Timestamp: 2003-05-06 11:49 UTC
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369 ACUS11 KWNS 061150 SWOMCD SPC MCD 061149 MOZ000-KSZ000-061445- MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0783 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0649 AM CDT TUE MAY 06 2003 AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS ERN KS...WRN/CENTRAL MO1 CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL VALID 061149Z - 061445Z TSTMS ACROSS REGION ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE THROUGH AT LEAST 13Z WITH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL. AREA WILL BE MONITORED FOR POSSIBLE WW. ACTIVITY NOW EVIDENT IN BROKEN BAND FROM CNU AREA SEWD TOWARD SGF WILL REMAIN IN SLIGHTLY ELEVATED ZONE OF FAVORABLE INSTABILITY... JUST NE OF WEDGE OF RICH SFC MOISTURE IN ERN OK WHERE DEW POINTS IN LOW-MID 70S ARE ANALYZED. TRAJECTORY ESTIMATES INDICATE THAT IS SOURCE AIR MASS FOR ISENTROPIC ASCENT INTO THIS REGION...WHICH SHOULD RESULT IN INCREASED OF 500-800 J/KG ELEVATED MUCAPE NOW ESTIMATED BASED ON MODEL FCST SOUNDINGS...WITH RAOBS PENDING. UPDRAFT STRENGTH SHOULD BE ENHANCED GIVEN 40-50 KT SHEAR WITHIN FIRST 6 KM ABOVE ELEVATED INFLOW LAYER. ..EDWARDS.. 05/06/2003 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT... 38159640 39379564 39829434 39419291 37259203 36969385