National Weather Service Raw Text Product

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PIL:
Start UTC Date @0z:
End UTC Date @0z:
000 
ACUS11 KWNS 101735
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 101735 
INZ000-MIZ000-OHZ000-101930-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2168
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1135 AM CST SUN NOV 10 2002

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN IND...SRN LWR MI...NW OH

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL

VALID 101735Z - 101930Z

WW MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS AREA WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO.


WEAK TO MODERATE SURFACE-BASED DESTABILIZATION HAS OCCURRED IN
TONGUE OF 60F+ SURFACE DEW POINTS AHEAD OF COLD FRONT...AS FAR
NORTH AS LOWER MICHIGAN.  RAPID CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT...WHICH
HAS OCCURRED PAST HOUR OR SO JUST AHEAD OF FRONT ACROSS THE
MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...CONTINUES NORTHEASTWARD IN RESPONSE
TO PROGRESSION OF UPPER FORCING...TOWARD THE SOUTH BEND IND AREA.
 



WHILE VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES ARE SUFFICIENT FOR SUPERCELLS...AND
A POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED TORNADOES...FURTHER EVOLUTION INTO
SQUALL LINE APPEARS LIKELY NEXT FEW HOURS...WITH PRIMARY SEVERE
THREAT DAMAGING WINDS IN 40 TO 50 KT MEAN FLOW ENVIRONMENT.
NARROW LINE OF INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD SPREAD ACROSS THE
FORT WAYNE IND... TOLEDO/FINDLAY OH...AND DETROIT MI AREAS BY THE
21/22Z TIME FRAME.

..KERR.. 11/10/2002

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

40628659 41618554 42838494 42958375 42738303 41758267
40568395 39718504 39518632 40088663 
431 
ACUS11 KWNS 101735
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 101735 
INZ000-MIZ000-OHZ000-101930-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2168
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1135 AM CST SUN NOV 10 2002

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN IND...SRN LWR MI...NW OH

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL

VALID 101735Z - 101930Z

WW MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS AREA WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO.


WEAK TO MODERATE SURFACE-BASED DESTABILIZATION HAS OCCURRED IN
TONGUE OF 60F+ SURFACE DEW POINTS AHEAD OF COLD FRONT...AS FAR
NORTH AS LOWER MICHIGAN.  RAPID CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT...WHICH
HAS OCCURRED PAST HOUR OR SO JUST AHEAD OF FRONT ACROSS THE
MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...CONTINUES NORTHEASTWARD IN RESPONSE
TO PROGRESSION OF UPPER FORCING...TOWARD THE SOUTH BEND IND AREA.
 



WHILE VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES ARE SUFFICIENT FOR SUPERCELLS...AND
A POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED TORNADOES...FURTHER EVOLUTION INTO
SQUALL LINE APPEARS LIKELY NEXT FEW HOURS...WITH PRIMARY SEVERE
THREAT DAMAGING WINDS IN 40 TO 50 KT MEAN FLOW ENVIRONMENT.
NARROW LINE OF INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD SPREAD ACROSS THE
FORT WAYNE IND... TOLEDO/FINDLAY OH...AND DETROIT MI AREAS BY THE
21/22Z TIME FRAME.

..KERR.. 11/10/2002

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

40628659 41618554 42838494 42958375 42738303 41758267
40568395 39718504 39518632 40088663