National Weather Service Raw Text Product

000 
ACUS1 KMKC 030615
MKC AC 030700

CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AFOS NMCGPH94O

VALID 031200 - 041200Z

REF WW 319...VALID UNTIL 0800Z.
REF WW 320...VALID UNTIL 1100Z.

THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RGT OF A LN FM PGO CSM
35 E GAG P28 ICT CNU TBN 25 S MVN 30 SW EVV HOP MKL LIT PGO.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RGT OF A LN FM TUP ELD
BWD ABI LTS 50 SSW GAG 20 SW 4LJ 20 W DEN RWL CPR AIA HLC RSL EMP
JEF STL BMG 20 SW HTS TRI HSS CHA TUP.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RGT OF A LN FM PFN 50 S SEM MEI JAN LFK
AUS 30 S JCT SJT 40 WSW CDS AMA DHT TAD SGU BIH SAC 40 W UKI
...CONT...60 NE MOT BIS ANW 35 NE BBW LNK 45 SSW OTM PIA
30 S FDY PIT AOO ACY.

SVR TSTMS XPCD TO DVLP NR SFC LOW AND WRMFNT OVR OK/SRN KS DURG
AFTN AND PROGRESS EWD THRU FNTL ZN DURG EVE/NGT-TIME HRS. WITHIN
PAT OF LARGELY ZONAL MID/UPR LVL FLOW ACRS CONUS...FAST-MOVING
SHRTWV TROF WL MOV OFF CNTRL ROCKIES AND ACRS CNTRL PLAINS DURG PD.
PRIND ACCOMPANYING SFC LOW WL REDEVELOP N OF PRESENT
PSN...SOMEPLACE OVR N- CNTRL/NWRN OK. ATTENDANT WRMFNT MOVG NWD
ACRS ERN OK/AR TO BCM QSTNRY OVR OK/KS...AR/MO BORDER RGNS AND LWR
OH RVR VLY TNGT. DEWPTS FCST IN MID/UPR 60S BY LATE AFTN NR WRMFNT
ACRS OK...WITH MSTR DEEPENING AS LOW LVL TRAJECTORIES OFF GULF
REMAIN IN FORCE. STG INSTBY FCST...WITH LI'S REACHING LESS THAT -8
IN THE WRM SECTOR BY LATE AFTN. INCRG PW'S...DP MSTR...AND STG
INSTBY SUPPORT HIGH-PRECIP (HP) STORM TYPES OVR RGN.

STG MID LVL WNDS EVIDENT...WITH H5 SPD MAX EXCEEDING 60 KT SWEEPING
OUT OVR NRN OK/SRN KS AREA BY 00Z. ALTHOUGH H8 WNDS PROGD TO WEAKEN
SMWHT AND BECOME PARALLEL TO H5 FLOW...STG DIR SHR BELOW THAT IS
XPCD ALG WRMFNT FM NERN OK WWD TO THE SFC LOW...PER NGM BDRY LYR
WND FCST. ETA MDL FCST SNDGS AT 00Z ACRS NRN OK YIELD HELICITIES
ABV 250...ASSUMING ELY STORM MOTION. IN THIS AREA...SUPERCELLULAR
TORNADOES PSBL WITHIN FIRST SVRL HRS AFTER CNVTV
INITIATION...HWVR...LKLY TO EVOLVE TO BOW ECHO/DERECHO SITUATION
DURG LATE EVE AND NGT. WNDS FROM H8 UP WL BLOW LARGELY PARALLEL TO
STALLED FNTL ZN. THIS WL BE CONDUCIVE TO FAST STORM MOTIONS AND
DISTINCT DMGG WIND DANGER...IN THE FORM OF MCS ACTVTY PROPAGATING
EWD ALG/NR FRONT TO MS VLY DURING LATE NGT. WARM ADVECTION N OF
FRONT ACRS MO/KY/SRN IL...PLUS STG LIFT AND MDT INSTBY...SUGG ISOL
SVR HAIL RPTS PSBL OVR THAT PART OF SLGT RISK AREA.

UPSLOPE FLOW FCST TO CONT ACRS NERN CO/XTRM WRN NE AND SERN WY.
SWLY DRYING OFF MTNS OF SRN/CNTRL CO XPCD TO ENHANCE CNVGNC ZN OVR
THIS AREA AS WELL. ISOL LRG HAIL AND DMGG WND PSBL THERE.

PRONOUNCED DRYLN FCST FROM SWRN OK SWD ACRS W-CNTRL TX. LOW LVL WND
PROGS INDC WK-MDT CNVGNC THEREON...BUT STG DIABATIC HTG WL OCCUR ON
BOTH SIDES. IF CNVTN MANAGES TO OVERCOME EXTREMELY STGz CAP
OVERHEAD... ISOL SVR PSBL...MAINLY IN THE FORM OF LRG HAIL.

..EDWARDS.. 06/03/93