National Weather Service Raw Text Product

000 
ACUS1 KMKC 021909
MKC AC 021930

CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AFOS NMCGPH94O

VALID 021930 - 031200Z

REF WW 316...VALID UNTIL 0000Z.
REF WW 317...VALID UNTIL 0000Z.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RGT OF A LN FM P02 TUL
END LBL TAD 15 W DEN CPR AIA 35 E GLD TOP 10 E FLV 25 SSE UIN ALN
P02.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RGT OF A LN FM CTY
15 ENE JAX.

TSTMS MAY APCH SVR LIMITS TO THE RGT OF A LN FM TAD 4HV 45 S ELY
BAM 75 SSE BNO 25 S BOI MQM CPR 15 W DEN TAD.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RGT OF A LN FM 15 SSE TLH TLH ABY CKL
PBF OKC FMN 35 S P38 RNO CEC ...CONT...35 W D45 REJ LBF 30 N HLC
CNK STJ PIA CMH LYH 10 NE MYR.

LTST RADAR DATA SHOWS ISOLD STG/SVR TSTMS OCRG IN UPSLOPE FLOW OVR
ERN CO ARND AND E OF DEN. ACTVTY HAS ALREADY PRODUCED ONE INCH HAIL
AND A BRIEF TORNADO. STG VERT WND SHEAR IS XPCD TO CONT WITH
ELY/SELY SFC/BNDRY LYR FLOW AND WSWLY FLOW ALF. MDLS ALSO INDC
MDTLY STG MID LVL JET MAX BGNG TO ENTR THE HI PLNS AND RCKYS BY
00Z. ALREADY FLOW AT MID AND UPR LVLS IS DIFFLUENT OVR THE RCKYS
AHD OF TROF OFF THE W CST. MRNG RAOB DATA INDCD SHRTWV TROF
EJECTING OUT INTO THE CNTRL RCKYS WHICH SHUD FURTHER AID IN INCR OF
SVR TSTM ACTVTY OVR ERN CO/SERN WY. SVR TSTMS SHUD CONT MOV ENEWD
ACRS ERN CO AND INTO THE NEB PNHDL BY EVE. WITH FVRBL LO LVL
SHEAR...ISOLD TORNADO ACTVTY SHUD CONT WITH SVR CELLS. AS UPR
SHRTWV TROF MOVS EWD INTO THE PLNS TNGT...SVR TSTMS MAY DVLP INVOF
OF SFC FNT ACRS PTNS OF KS AND MO.

BOTH E AND W CST SEABREEZES HAV BCM ACTV OVR THE FL PEN ERY THIS
AFTN. STG SFC HTG AND COOL TEMPS ALF HAS ALLOWED FOR STEEP LAPSE
RATES AND HI CAPES IN EXCESS OF 3000 J/KG. RADAR INDCS STG TSTMS
CONTG TO DVLP ALG BOTH SEABREEZES. BELIEVE ISOLD SVR TSTMS ARE PSBL
AS SEABREEZE MOV INLAND AND EVENTUALLY COLLIDE OVR THE CNTRL PEN.
PRIMARY THREAT IS LRG HAIL AND ISOLD DOWNBURST WNDS.

STEEP LAPSE RATES AND SHRTWV TROF ROTG ARND UPR LO OVR THE INTRMTN
RGN HAV RESULTED IN RAPID TSTM DVLPMT FM THE GREAT BASIN INTO
ID/WY. ISOLD STG TSTMS WITH SML HAIL AND GUSTY WNDS ARE PSBL WITH
SOME OF THESE STMS THIS AFTN INTO ERY EVE.

..SMITH.. 06/02/93