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FPUS74 KOUN 191158
NOWOUN

SHORT TERM FORECAST 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
658 AM CDT SUN AUG 19 2007

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-191400-
ALFALFA-ARCHER-ATOKA-BAYLOR-BECKHAM-BLAINE-BRYAN-CADDO-CANADIAN-
CARTER-CLAY-CLEVELAND-COAL-COMANCHE-COTTON-CUSTER-DEWEY-ELLIS-FOARD-
GARFIELD-GARVIN-GRADY-GRANT-GREER-HARDEMAN-HARMON-HARPER-HUGHES-
JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSTON-KAY-KINGFISHER-KIOWA-KNOX-LINCOLN-LOGAN-
LOVE-MAJOR-MARSHALL-MCCLAIN-MURRAY-NOBLE-OKLAHOMA-PAYNE-PONTOTOC-
POTTAWATOMIE-ROGER MILLS-SEMINOLE-STEPHENS-TILLMAN-WASHITA-WICHITA-
WILBARGER-WOODS-WOODWARD-
658 AM CDT SUN AUG 19 2007

.NOW...
...REGIONAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...
POTENTIAL WILL REMAIN HIGH FOR EXCESSIVELY HEAVY RAIN AND DANGEROUS 
FLASH FLOODING THROUGH MID MORNING OVER MUCH OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH 
CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. THE POTENTIAL ALSO WILL CONTINUE FOR DAMAGING 
WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE BY MIDDAY.   

AN EXTRAORDINARY WEATHER EVENT CONTINUES TO UNFOLD OVER CENTRAL 
OKLAHOMA EARLY THIS MORNING AS THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM ERIN 
HAVE INTENSIFIED... RESULTING IN WHAT AMOUNTS TO AN INLAND TROPICAL 
STORM. AT 650 AM... THE WELL-DEFINED CENTER WAS LOCATED VERY CLOSE 
TO PIEDMONT BASED ON RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS... MOVING 
SLOWLY EAST AT 10 MPH. A BAND OF FLOOD-PRODUCING RAIN WAS LOCATED 
FROM CRESCENT TO WELLSTON TO SHAWNEE TO PAULS VALLEY... AND 
SOUTHWESTWARD TO NEAR DUNCAN. OTHER HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS 
WERE LOCATED OVER SOUTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA... FROM THE TURNER FALLS 
AREA SOUTH AND SOUTHWESTWARD TO WEST OF ARDMORE. THE HEAVY RAIN 
AREAS WERE MOVING SLOWLY EAST AT AROUND 10 MPH.   

STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF THE STORM 
CENTER... ESPECIALLY WITHIN 50 MILES OF THE CENTER NEAR PIEDMONT. 
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WILL BE LIKELY... AND GUSTS TO 60 
MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE. WEAK TORNADOES WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE IN THESE 
AREAS AS WELL. THE MAIN HAZARD WILL BE TORRENTIAL RAIN AND FLASH 
FLOODING. RAINFALL OF 2 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR WILL QUICKLY INUNDATE 
LOW LYING AREAS AND LEAD TO IMPASSABLE ROADS AND LOCALLY VERY 
DANGEROUS FLOODING CONDITIONS.

ALTHOUGH HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO ROTATE AROUND THE LOW CENTER AS 
IT MOVES SLOWLY EAST ACROSS CENTRAL OKLAHOMA... RAINFALL WILL END 
GRADUALLY FROM WEST TO EAST AS THE STORM SYSTEM MOVES INTO EASTERN 
OKLAHOMA. MUCH OF THE HEAVY RAIN WILL END IN CENTRAL OKLAHOMA BY 
LATE MORNING. FLOODING WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE 
MORNING DUE TO WIDESPREAD OVERNIGHT RAINFALL RANGING FROM 4 TO 8 
INCHES... AND LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. 

$$

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