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Displaying AFOS PIL: SWOMCD Product Timestamp: 2003-05-11 16:32 UTC
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437 ACUS11 KWNS 111632 SWOMCD SPC MCD 111632 NYZ000-PAZ000-111830- MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0943 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1132 AM CDT SUN MAY 11 2003 AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL PA...CENTRAL NY CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL VALID 111632Z - 111830Z MONITORING INCREASING CU FIELD OVER WEST CENTRAL PA FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT AND POSSIBLE NEW WW. SATELLITE AND RADAR IMAGERY SUGGEST THAT TCU OR ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE BEGINNING TO DEVELOP ACROSS WEST CENTRAL PA. THIS ACTIVITY IS WELL EAST OF SURFACE COLD FRONT...BUT IN AREA THAT HAS DESTABILIZED RAPIDLY IN THE PAST 1-2 HOURS. SBCAPE VALUES ARE IN THE 1000-2000 J/KG RANGE...BUT SHOULD CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON. VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES ARE SUFFICIENT FOR SEVERE STORMS OR EVEN TORNADOES IN THIS REGION. IF ACTIVITY CONTINUES TO INCREASE ...NEW TORNADO WATCH MAY BE NEEDED SOON FOR PARTS OF CENTRAL PA/NY. ..HART.. 05/11/2003 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... ATTN...WFO...ALY...PHI...BGM...BUF...CTP...LWX... 44407593 43977521 42897521 41097586 39887646 39727796 40587855 43617726