National Weather Service Raw Text Product

Bulk Download

PIL:
Start UTC Date @0z:
End UTC Date @0z:
333 
ACUS11 KWNS 070949
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 070949 
NCZ000-SCZ000-GAZ000-071215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0815
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0449 AM CDT WED MAY 07 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN SC...EXTREME SRN NC

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 070949Z - 071215Z

SMALL CLUSTER OF TSTMS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ESEWD ACROSS NRN SC 
THROUGH APPROXIMATELY 12Z...FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER MULTICELL TSTM
MOVING ESEWD FROM NERN GA ON A SIMILAR TRACK.  EXPECT GUSTS TO
REMAIN BELOW 50 KT SEVERE CRITERIA...THOUGH SUBSEVERE GUSTS MAY
STILL PRODUCE OCCASIONAL DAMAGE.  WW NOT ANTICIPATED BECAUSE OF
MARGINALITY OF THREAT AND LIMITED SPATIAL EXTENT.

MODIFIED RUC2 SOUNDINGS SHOW ROUGHLY 1500 J/KG ELEVATED MUCAPE NWRN
SC DECREASING ESEWD TO AROUND 800 J/KG IN MYR-ILM AREA. FAVORABLY
MOIST LOW LEVEL INFLOW WILL HELP TO SUSTAIN THIS
ACTIVITY...HOWEVER...CONVECTION WILL BE MOVING EWD OVER
PROGRESSIVELY LOWER ELEVATIONS AND HENCE DEEPER/NOCTURNALLY-COOLED
BOUNDARY LAYER THROUGH WHICH DOWNDRAFTS MUST PENETRATE TO REACH SFC.
 ACCORDINGLY...PRIND POTENTIAL WILL BE IN FORM OF GUSTS NEAR SEVERE
LEVELS MAINLY OVER NWRN SC.

..EDWARDS.. 05/07/2003

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...GSP...

35028311 34737923 33867854 33297921 34068259 34688324