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Displaying AFOS PIL: SWOMCD Product Timestamp: 2003-05-06 17:45 UTC
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789 ACUS11 KWNS 061745 SWOMCD SPC MCD 061745 KYZ000-INZ000-061945- MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0792 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1245 PM CDT TUE MAY 06 2003 AREAS AFFECTED...WRN/CNTRL KY CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL VALID 061745Z - 061945Z ISOLATED CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS WRN KY AND MOVE EWD. ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN INTENSITY AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE. WW MAY BE NEEDED OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. DIFFUSE COLD FRONT EXTENDED FROM CNTRL OH SWWD TO SRN IL. MODERATE INSTABILITY HAD DEVELOPED IN THE WARM SECTOR S OF THE FRONT WITH MLCAPES AROUND 1500-2000 J/KG. DEEP LAYER SHEAR MAX OF 60 KT EXISTED ACROSS WCNTRL KY AND WAS ASSOCIATED WITH A MID-LEVEL JET APPROACHING FROM THE SW. CONVECTION SHOULD CONTINUE TO DEVELOP IN AN AREA OF INCREASING LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE ACROSS WRN KY. MODERATE INSTABILITY AND STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR SUGGEST A SUPERCELL IS POSSIBLE. LARGE HAIL POTENTIAL WILL EXIST IF A SUPERCELL CAN DEVELOP. WW MAY BE NECESSARY ACROSS CNTRL KY LATER THIS AFTERNOON. ..BROYLES.. 05/06/2003 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... ATTN...WFO...LMK...PAH... 37468776 37918668 38148578 38168510 37288484 36878620 36708736