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Displaying AFOS PIL: SWOMCD Product Timestamp: 2003-05-06 10:06 UTC
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171 ACUS11 KWNS 061007 SWOMCD SPC MCD 061006 TNZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-061300- MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0781 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0506 AM CDT TUE MAY 06 2003 AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS WRN/MID TN...NRN AL...NRN MS CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL...TORNADO WATCH 262... VALID 061006Z - 061300Z LARGE CLUSTER OF TSTMS CONTINUES FROM MID TN AND EXTREME NRN AL WSWWD ACROSS SWRN TN/NRN MS...WITH ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT/BACKBUILDING INDICATED NWRN MS. REGIONAL VWP/PROFILER DATA CONTINUE TO INDICATE POTENTIAL FOR SUPERCELLS AND TORNADOES WITH ANY STORMS THAT CAN REMAIN RELATIVELY DISCRETE -- WITH 250-450 J/KG SRH BEING COMMON IN 0-3 KM LAYER. BOW ECHOES WITH WIND DAMAGE POTENTIAL ALSO POSSIBLE. EXPECT MANY CELLS N OF SRN PERIPHERY OF CONVECTIVE BAND TO RETAIN SEVERE POTENTIAL AS THEY MOVE NEWD...OVER COLLECTIVE OUTFLOW POOL FROM MCS. LARGE HAIL AND OCCASIONAL DAMAGING GUSTS POSSIBLE FROM SUCH TSTMS. FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE 1000-1500 J/KG ELEVATED MUCAPE N OF OUTFLOW BOUNDARY IN TN AND 1500-2000 J/KG MUCAPE OVER PORTIONS NRN MS. THREAT FOR HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE MAXIMIZED WITH MERGING/TRAINING CELLS IN THIS COMPLEX...WITH 30-40 KT LOW LEVEL SR INFLOWS INVOF LLJ AND VERY RICH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE. MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATE ALMOST 2 INCH PW AND MEAN MIXING RATIOS 15-16 G/KG IN LOW LEVEL AIR MASS. 2-3 INCH/HOUR RAIN RATES WILL BE COMMON IN TSTM CORES. ..EDWARDS.. 05/06/2003 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... ATTN...WFO...MRX...FFC...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG...MRX...OHX...HUN...MEG... 34259090 35369091 36278939 35668533 33508534 35219003 35798857 36068663 35838518 34918568 34838804 34468965