National Weather Service Raw Text Product

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638 
ACUS03 KWNS 100815
SWODY3
SPC AC 100748
 
STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PGWK48 KWNS.
 
VALID 121200-131200
 
A SLIGHT RISK IS FCST OVER THE FL PENINSULA.


HIGH AMPLITUDE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE DIGGING SEWD TROUGH THE
PERIOD...PLACING MUCH OF THE ERN SEA BOARD FROM CENTRAL FL TO ERN
NEW ENGLAND UNDER VERY STRONG MID AND UPPER TROPOSPHERIC FLOW.  ETA
AND GFS SIMILAR IN TROUGH POSITION/STRENGTH...THOUGH SOLUTIONS
DIVERGE REGARDING LIKELY LOCATION OF ONGOING STRONG/SEVERE SQUALL
LINE OVER THE SRN ATLANTIC DURING THE MORNING.  EXPECT THIS
ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN QUITE ACTIVE AND OUTRUN PRIMARY SURFACE COLD
FRONT THROUGH THE DAY...SHIFTING OFF THE SRN ATLANTIC COAST DURING
THE MORNING AND SWD ACROSS FL THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.  THIS IS MORE
IN LINE WITH ETA SOLUTION...AND SUGGESTS ONLY LOW PROBABILITIES OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE WARRANTED ALONG THE GA/SC COAST REGION
AHEAD OF MAIN COLD FRONT DUE TO STABILIZATION EFFECTS OF EARLIER
STORMS.  PRIMARY SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THREAT SHOULD ACCOMPANY PRE-
FRONTAL WIND SHIFT/SQUALL LINE SHIFTING FROM SOUTH TO NORTH ACROSS
FL INTO THE EARLY EVENING...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS
AND HAIL.   

..EVANS.. 11/10/02
 
000 
ACUS03 KWNS 100815
SWODY3
SPC AC 100748
 
STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PGWK48 KWNS.
 
VALID 121200-131200
 
A SLIGHT RISK IS FCST OVER THE FL PENINSULA.


HIGH AMPLITUDE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE DIGGING SEWD TROUGH THE
PERIOD...PLACING MUCH OF THE ERN SEA BOARD FROM CENTRAL FL TO ERN
NEW ENGLAND UNDER VERY STRONG MID AND UPPER TROPOSPHERIC FLOW.  ETA
AND GFS SIMILAR IN TROUGH POSITION/STRENGTH...THOUGH SOLUTIONS
DIVERGE REGARDING LIKELY LOCATION OF ONGOING STRONG/SEVERE SQUALL
LINE OVER THE SRN ATLANTIC DURING THE MORNING.  EXPECT THIS
ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN QUITE ACTIVE AND OUTRUN PRIMARY SURFACE COLD
FRONT THROUGH THE DAY...SHIFTING OFF THE SRN ATLANTIC COAST DURING
THE MORNING AND SWD ACROSS FL THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.  THIS IS MORE
IN LINE WITH ETA SOLUTION...AND SUGGESTS ONLY LOW PROBABILITIES OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE WARRANTED ALONG THE GA/SC COAST REGION
AHEAD OF MAIN COLD FRONT DUE TO STABILIZATION EFFECTS OF EARLIER
STORMS.  PRIMARY SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THREAT SHOULD ACCOMPANY PRE-
FRONTAL WIND SHIFT/SQUALL LINE SHIFTING FROM SOUTH TO NORTH ACROSS
FL INTO THE EARLY EVENING...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS
AND HAIL.   

..EVANS.. 11/10/02