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PIL:
Start UTC Date @0z:
End UTC Date @0z:
250 
ACUS01 KWNS 281703
SWODY1
SPC AC 281700

STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK 
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PGWE46 KWNS.

VALID 281630Z - 291200Z

THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PROTIONS OF OH...PA...NY...
WV...KY AND TN TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WSW CSV 40 SSW CKV 20
N HOP 35 SSW SDF 35 ENE LUK 15 SSW MFD 20 SW CLE 15 WSW ERI 20 NNE
JHW 45 SE BUF 20 SSE ELM 25 ESE IPT HGR 25 E EKN BKW 45 SW BLF 30
NE TYS 50 WSW CSV.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
20 NNE ECG 20 NNW SOP 45 E RMG 30 SW CBM 35 NNW HEZ 40 S ELD
20 SSW PBF 35 NNE MEM 35 S PAH 10 SSW OWB 45 NNE SDF 20 ESE DAY
35 W CLE ...CONT... 30 WNW SYR 25 ENE BDR.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSW ART
10 SSE PSM ...CONT... 20 S CHS AUO 20 WSW LUL 30 E POE 30 S CLL
30 S AUS 45 W TPL 25 NNW ACT 30 N TYR 25 WSW HOT 55 SW JBR
35 N DYR 35 WSW OWB 30 NW SDF 25 WNW LUK 45 NNW MFD.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NE SUX 15 SSW FOD
25 SW LWD 10 WNW TOP 15 S EAR 35 SSE IML 10 WSW AKO 40 SSW 4FC
55 NW GJT 40 E SLC 45 ESE EKO 20 SSW TWF 40 NW JAC 55 S GCC
35 SSE RAP 35 N BUB 35 NE SUX.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 S OTH 55 NNW LMT
30 NNW RNO 35 E SCK 45 S UKI.

...SYNOPSIS...
STRONG UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE RAPIDLY EWD FROM THE GREAT
LAKES EASTWARD INTO NY/SRN NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT. SURFACE COLD FRONT
WILL PUSH THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY MID/ATLANTIC STATES AS STRONG
PRESSURE RISES SWEEP EASTWARD...BUT FRONT WILL MOVE SLOWER SEWD
THROUGH THE TN/MID MS VALLEY AS UPPER SUPPORT PASSES WELL NORTH OF
THE AREA. 

...WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER EPISODE EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING...ESPECIALLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE OHIO/TN
VALLEYS...

...OH AND TN VALLEYS AND PA...
MODERATE INSTABILITY AND STRONG ENVIRONMENTAL WINDS SHOULD SUPPORT
A LINE OF SEVERE STORMS TO DEVELOP AND MOVE EWD ACROSS THE OH AND
TN VALLEYS THIS AFTERNOON. THE UPPER LEVEL FORCING WILL BE STRONGER
FROM OH EWD INTO PA AND 70-80 KT MID LEVEL WINDS WOULD SUPPORT MORE
WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE AND SOME GUSTS GREATER THAN 80 MPH. STORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP INITIALLY AS DISCRETE STORMS FROM OH SWWD
INTO KY.  STRONG 0-6 KM SHEAR OF 50-60 KT AND 0-1 KM SRH HELICITY
NEAR 300 M2/S2 WOULD ALSO SUPPORT SUPERCELLS AND TORNADOES.  

...NY SWD INTO THE MID ATLANTIC STATES...
CLOUDS HAVE HELD DOWN TEMPERATURES THUS FAR THIS MORNING...BUT
RAPID CLEARING WILL OCCUR DURING THE AFTERNOON. SURFACE LOW IS
FORECAST TO TRACK THROUGH SRN NY INTO SRN NEW ENGLAND THIS EVENING.
EXPECT A LINE OF STORMS TO MOVE ALONG TRAILING COLD FRONT WITH A
THREAT OF MAINLY WIND DAMAGE.

...SERN AR EWD INTO NRN AL...
AIR MASS WILL BE STRONGLY UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPES OVER 3000 J/KG. 30
KT DEEP LAYERED SHEAR WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR SEVERE...BUT FORCING
WILL BE WEAK AND MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES MAY WARM SLIGHTLY.
HOWEVER...LOW LEVEL THERMODYNAMICS WILL SUPPORT LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING
WINDS WITH ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP.

..IMY.. 04/28/02
000
ACUS01 KWNS 281703
SWODY1
SPC AC 281700

STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK 
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PGWE46 KWNS.

VALID 281630Z - 291200Z

THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PROTIONS OF OH...PA...NY...
WV...KY AND TN TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WSW CSV 40 SSW CKV 20
N HOP 35 SSW SDF 35 ENE LUK 15 SSW MFD 20 SW CLE 15 WSW ERI 20 NNE
JHW 45 SE BUF 20 SSE ELM 25 ESE IPT HGR 25 E EKN BKW 45 SW BLF 30
NE TYS 50 WSW CSV.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
20 NNE ECG 20 NNW SOP 45 E RMG 30 SW CBM 35 NNW HEZ 40 S ELD
20 SSW PBF 35 NNE MEM 35 S PAH 10 SSW OWB 45 NNE SDF 20 ESE DAY
35 W CLE ...CONT... 30 WNW SYR 25 ENE BDR.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSW ART
10 SSE PSM ...CONT... 20 S CHS AUO 20 WSW LUL 30 E POE 30 S CLL
30 S AUS 45 W TPL 25 NNW ACT 30 N TYR 25 WSW HOT 55 SW JBR
35 N DYR 35 WSW OWB 30 NW SDF 25 WNW LUK 45 NNW MFD.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NE SUX 15 SSW FOD
25 SW LWD 10 WNW TOP 15 S EAR 35 SSE IML 10 WSW AKO 40 SSW 4FC
55 NW GJT 40 E SLC 45 ESE EKO 20 SSW TWF 40 NW JAC 55 S GCC
35 SSE RAP 35 N BUB 35 NE SUX.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 S OTH 55 NNW LMT
30 NNW RNO 35 E SCK 45 S UKI.

...SYNOPSIS...
STRONG UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE RAPIDLY EWD FROM THE GREAT
LAKES EASTWARD INTO NY/SRN NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT. SURFACE COLD FRONT
WILL PUSH THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY MID/ATLANTIC STATES AS STRONG
PRESSURE RISES SWEEP EASTWARD...BUT FRONT WILL MOVE SLOWER SEWD
THROUGH THE TN/MID MS VALLEY AS UPPER SUPPORT PASSES WELL NORTH OF
THE AREA. 

...WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER EPISODE EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING...ESPECIALLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE OHIO/TN
VALLEYS...

...OH AND TN VALLEYS AND PA...
MODERATE INSTABILITY AND STRONG ENVIRONMENTAL WINDS SHOULD SUPPORT
A LINE OF SEVERE STORMS TO DEVELOP AND MOVE EWD ACROSS THE OH AND
TN VALLEYS THIS AFTERNOON. THE UPPER LEVEL FORCING WILL BE STRONGER
FROM OH EWD INTO PA AND 70-80 KT MID LEVEL WINDS WOULD SUPPORT MORE
WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE AND SOME GUSTS GREATER THAN 80 MPH. STORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP INITIALLY AS DISCRETE STORMS FROM OH SWWD
INTO KY.  STRONG 0-6 KM SHEAR OF 50-60 KT AND 0-1 KM SRH HELICITY
NEAR 300 M2/S2 WOULD ALSO SUPPORT SUPERCELLS AND TORNADOES.  

...NY SWD INTO THE MID ATLANTIC STATES...
CLOUDS HAVE HELD DOWN TEMPERATURES THUS FAR THIS MORNING...BUT
RAPID CLEARING WILL OCCUR DURING THE AFTERNOON. SURFACE LOW IS
FORECAST TO TRACK THROUGH SRN NY INTO SRN NEW ENGLAND THIS EVENING.
EXPECT A LINE OF STORMS TO MOVE ALONG TRAILING COLD FRONT WITH A
THREAT OF MAINLY WIND DAMAGE.

...SERN AR EWD INTO NRN AL...
AIR MASS WILL BE STRONGLY UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPES OVER 3000 J/KG. 30
KT DEEP LAYERED SHEAR WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR SEVERE...BUT FORCING
WILL BE WEAK AND MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES MAY WARM SLIGHTLY.
HOWEVER...LOW LEVEL THERMODYNAMICS WILL SUPPORT LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING
WINDS WITH ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP.

..IMY.. 04/28/02