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043 
ABNT20 KNHC 142117
TWOAT 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT TUE AUG 14 2001

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A STRONG TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 1500 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER 
ANTILLES IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.  THIS SYSTEM IS 
ACCOMPANIED BY A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...BUT STILL LACKS 
PERSISTENT THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.  NEVERTHELESSS...ENVIRONMENTAL 
CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM IN THIS 
AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.  

ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE IS BEGINNING TO MOVE ACROSS THE LESSER 
ANTILLES ACCOMPANIED BY SHOWERS...THUNDERSTORMS...AND GUSTY WINDS.  
THIS ACTIVITY EXTENDS NORTHWARD INTO THE ATLANTIC FOR SEVERAL 
HUNDRED MILES.  THE WAVE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WESTWARD INTO THE 
EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ON WEDNESDAY.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS DO NOT APPEAR 
TO BE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME.

AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS IS LOCATED ABOUT MIDWAY BETWEEN 
THE BAHAMAS AND BERMUDA.  THERE IS NO EVIDENCE OF A SURFACE 
CIRCULATION.  THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN MOVING NORTHWARD OR 
NORTHEASTWARD AND MERGE WITH A FRONTAL TROUGH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE 
OF DAYS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH 
WEDNESDAY.  

FORECASTER PASCH