571 
FXUS64 KFWD 251035
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
535 AM CDT Sun Oct 25 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES... 

- Quiet weather and mostly dry conditions will continue through  
  early this week.

- A change in the weather pattern is expected by late week, 
  bringing slightly cooler temperatures and at least low rain 
  chances by next weekend. 

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Monday)
Issued at 117 AM CDT Sun Oct 25 2026

Tranquil weather will prevail to end the weekend and begin the
workweek as an upper ridge axis gradually breaks down and 
retreats southeastward. This small pattern shift will allow for 
increased cloudiness as mid/high cloud cover spills into the 
region from the west during the next 36 hours, and when combined 
with modest height falls, will aid in knocking a few degrees off 
of high temperatures the next couple of days. Readings will will 
remain above normal though, mainly in the upper 70s and lower 
80s. Moisture content will also begin increasing through the short
term period as surface dewpoints return to the upper 50s and 60s.
This will support an increase in morning stratus coverage, as 
well as perhaps some fog in parts of Central Texas this morning 
and again on Monday morning. Rain chances are negligible through 
the short term forecast period. 

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through next Saturday)
Issued at 117 AM CDT Sun Oct 25 2026

Above normal temperatures have become increasingly likely to
persist through the extended forecast period and even into next 
weekend. Late-week rain chances have also begun to decrease as a 
result of the expected evolution of the upper ridge breakdown and 
northward displacement of the upper jet streak. As a result, our
low rain chances through the workweek will consist primarily of 
rain showers associated with modest low-level warm/moist 
advection, some of which will be possible across the western half 
of the CWA as early as Tuesday. More meaningful rain chances will 
likely be delayed until the Friday-Sunday period when a more 
pronounced subtropical jet is expected to nose into the area 
coincident with a compact mid-level shortwave. Days 6-9 still 
appear to possess the greatest rain chances, but these chances are
still far from certain and PoPs of more than about 30-40% are not
warranted at this time.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 533 AM CDT Sun Oct 25 2026

VFR will prevail with a SCT/BKN canopy of cirrus arriving from 
the west today. Low stratus and fog have remained south and west 
of KACT this morning, and this trend should continue with no 
category reductions expected at the terminal. Light southeast 
winds of 5-10 kts will continue through the entire forecast 
period. 

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    82  59  80  62 /   0   0   0   0 
Waco                82  55  80  61 /   0   0   0   0 
Paris               82  54  80  57 /   0   0   0   0 
Denton              82  55  79  58 /   0   0   0   0 
McKinney            82  56  80  58 /   0   0   0   0 
Dallas              83  59  81  63 /   0   0   0   0 
Terrell             83  56  81  58 /   0   0   0   0 
Corsicana           82  56  81  60 /   0   0   0   0 
Temple              83  55  82  61 /   0   0   0   0 
Mineral Wells       82  56  80  59 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Stalley
LONG TERM....Stalley
AVIATION...Stalley