060 
FXUS64 KFWD 250618
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
118 AM CDT Sun Oct 25 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES... 

- Quiet weather and mostly dry conditions will continue through  
  early this week.

- A change in the weather pattern is expected by late week, 
  bringing slightly cooler temperatures and at least low rain 
  chances by next weekend. 

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Monday)
Issued at 117 AM CDT Sun Oct 25 2026

Tranquil weather will prevail to end the weekend and begin the
workweek as an upper ridge axis gradually breaks down and 
retreats southeastward. This small pattern shift will allow for 
increased cloudiness as mid/high cloud cover spills into the 
region from the west during the next 36 hours, and when combined 
with modest height falls, will aid in knocking a few degrees off 
of high temperatures the next couple of days. Readings will will 
remain above normal though, mainly in the upper 70s and lower 
80s. Moisture content will also begin increasing through the short
term period as surface dewpoints return to the upper 50s and 60s.
This will support an increase in morning stratus coverage, as 
well as perhaps some fog in parts of Central Texas this morning 
and again on Monday morning. Rain chances are negligible through 
the short term forecast period. 

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through next Saturday)
Issued at 117 AM CDT Sun Oct 25 2026

Above normal temperatures have become increasingly likely to
persist through the extended forecast period and even into next 
weekend. Late-week rain chances have also begun to decrease as a 
result of the expected evolution of the upper ridge breakdown and 
northward displacement of the upper jet streak. As a result, our
low rain chances through the workweek will consist primarily of 
rain showers associated with modest low-level warm/moist 
advection, some of which will be possible across the western half 
of the CWA as early as Tuesday. More meaningful rain chances will 
likely be delayed until the Friday-Sunday period when a more 
pronounced subtropical jet is expected to nose into the area 
coincident with a compact mid-level shortwave. Days 6-9 still 
appear to possess the greatest rain chances, but these chances are
still far from certain and PoPs of more than about 30-40% are not
warranted at this time.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 117 AM CDT Sun Oct 25 2026

VFR will prevail with increasing high cloud cover arriving from 
the west today. Some low stratus and fog may also be present in 
portions of Central Texas through this morning, but are expected 
to remain south of KACT. Light southeast winds of 5-10 kts will 
continue through the entire forecast period. 

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    84  62  81  59 /   0   0   0   0 
Waco                85  59  81  54 /   0   0   0   0 
Paris               86  56  81  54 /   0   0   0   0 
Denton              83  59  81  57 /   0   0   0   0 
McKinney            84  59  81  56 /   0   0   0   0 
Dallas              84  62  83  60 /   0   0   0   0 
Terrell             85  58  82  55 /   0   0   0   0 
Corsicana           83  58  81  56 /   0   0   0   0 
Temple              85  60  83  55 /   0   0   0   0 
Mineral Wells       82  60  81  56 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Stalley
LONG TERM....Stalley
AVIATION...Stalley