National Weather Service Text Product
AFOS product AFDFGF
Dates interpreted at 00:00 UTCDisplaying AFOS PIL: AFDFGF
Product Timestamp: 2026-10-10 12:05 UTC
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279 FXUS63 KFGF 101205 AFDFGF Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 705 AM CDT Sat Oct 10 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - Near record highs in some locations today. Near critial fire weather conditions this afternoon parts of southeast North Dakota and west central Minnesota. - A strong cold front on Sunday. Rain chances are in the forecast Sunday into Monday, with additional chances later next week. && .UPDATE... Issued at 442 AM CDT Sat Oct 10 2026 Discussion among the NWS offices in regards to fire weather concerns in parts of Minnesota, North Dakota and South Dakota. Apparently Travis at MIFC would like SPS for near critical fire weather conditions today due to RH values less than 35 pct and wind gusts 25 mph or higher. So SPS was done roughly Park Rapids to Moorhead and south. In North Dakota, the state fire weather office prefers no SPS, but instead make mention of near critical fire weather conditions in the HWO and fire weather discussion. That was done. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 328 PM CDT Fri Oct 9 2026 ...Synopsis... Troughing continues to develop across the Pacific Northwest this evening and overnight, along with a strengthening ridge across the eastern CONUS. As we head into Saturday and Sunday, this pattern amplifies, bringing continued strong warm air advection into the area tonight into Saturday. Temperatures could approach records across the southern Red River Valley, with afternoon highs in the mid to upper 80s. Further north, widespread 70s to low 80s are likely. An H5 trough will shift east late Saturday into Sunday morning, ushering a cold front into the area. Rain chances are in the forecast Sunday into Monday as this front traverses the region, which will accompany much cooler temperatures. Highs on Sunday are most likely to occur at midnight for areas in eastern North Dakota and northwest Minnesota, with temperatures falling as the day progresses. Locations in west central Minnesota should see another relatively warm day before the front pushes through heading into Sunday evening. Rain chances will increase once more heading into mid week as another system brings moisture into the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest. Ensemble spread is still somewhat large at this time, with a wide range of potential QPF Wednesday through Friday. There is, however, relatively good agreement that most of the area will see measurable precipitation. && .AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY/... Issued at 658 AM CDT Sat Oct 10 2026 Gusty south winds will be found today in southeast ND thru west central into north central MN, with gusts over 20 kts KFAR and KBJI with gusts over 25 kts Fergus Falls area. GFK TVF and DVL will see a bit less wind with less gusts as surface pressure gradient is less. Cold front moves into northeast ND tonight and moves gradually southeast into Sunday morning iwth winds turning to the northwest. Scattered cirrus today ahead of the front, then increasing clouds and eventually some MVFR cigs spreading in very late tonight into NE ND and far NW MN in the cooler air behind the front. && .FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ND...None. MN...None. && $$ UPDATE...Riddle DISCUSSION...Lynch AVIATION...Riddle