437 
FXUS64 KFWD 071739
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1239 PM CDT Wed Oct 7 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES... 

- Quiet weather is expected through the upcoming weekend, with
  cool nights and warm afternoons.

- Low rain chances will return by the middle of next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 1239 PM CDT Wed Oct 7 2026

Pleasant, early-fall weather and light east-northeasterly winds
will prevail through Thursday as a surface ridge remains extended
from the Midwest toward North Texas. Expect afternoon highs both
today and Thursday in the mid to upper 80s across most of the
region, nearing 90 degrees over parts of the Big Country and the
Brazos Valley on the periphery of the primary ridge axis. Surface
dewpoints will mix out rather aggressively again this afternoon,
falling into the upper 40s to low 50s. Dry and clear conditions
with light winds will allow for temperatures to fall into the
upper 50s to mid 60s across much of the region again tonight 
(right around average for early October).

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 1239 PM CDT Wed Oct 7 2026

Most eyes will be on Tropical Storm Isaias later this week and
into this weekend as it traverses across the Gulf and toward the
central Gulf Coast. The bulk of the deeper moisture and rain
associated with this system will remain well east of our forecast
area. We will start to see a slight increase in surface dewpoints
as winds take on a more easterly component Friday and Saturday
which will lead to slightly warmer mornings in the mid to upper
60s. Otherwise, expect similar afternoon highs largely in the mid
to upper 80s with mostly sunny skies through at least Sunday.

A brief period of mid/upper ridging will likely develop overhead
early next week which may allow for afternoon high temperatures to
creep up into the upper 80s to mid 90s regionwide by Monday. More
appreciable moisture return and greater rain chances over North
and Central Texas will likely hold off until Tuesday-Wednesday of
next week as southerly winds re-establish over the region ahead of
western CONUS troughing and a potential frontal system shifting
south over the Plains.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1239 PM CDT Wed Oct 7 2026

VFR conditions and light east-northeast winds generally below 8
kts will prevail through the TAF period for all North and Central
Texas terminals. Winds will likely go near-calm and variable after
sunset this evening. 

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    64  85  66  85 /   0   0   0   0 
Waco                63  86  64  86 /   0   0   0   0 
Paris               60  86  62  87 /   0   0   0   0 
Denton              60  86  64  86 /   0   0   0   0 
McKinney            61  85  64  85 /   0   0   0   0 
Dallas              64  87  66  87 /   0   0   0   0 
Terrell             62  87  64  86 /   0   0   0   0 
Corsicana           63  87  64  86 /   0   0   0   0 
Temple              63  87  65  86 /   0   0   0   0 
Mineral Wells       58  85  63  86 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Langfeld
LONG TERM....Langfeld
AVIATION...Langfeld