096 
FXUS63 KFGF 062325
AFDFGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
625 PM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Above average temperatures and dry conditions prevail through
  at least Saturday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 326 PM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

...Synopsis...

Upper pattern features a Pacific jet nosing into the Northern
Plains out of the Canadian Rockies. At the surface, a weak and
dry front is moving through the region this afternoon into
evening. This may allow for some sprinkles, but overall lack of
moisture and temperature change behind the front will prevent
most rain from reaching the ground.

Post frontal air mass tomorrow will be noticed mostly by an
increase in northwest winds, gusting 25-35 mph, perhaps nearing
40 mph in northwest MN during the afternoon. Also in northwest
MN, some rain showers may develop lee of Lake of the Woods 
during the afternoon. Lower RH values in southeast ND will allow
for near critical fire weather conditions, however relatively
higher moisture fuel status will negate any dedicated messaging
of fire weather concerns at this time.

Into late week, upper pattern stays rather zonal with some
guidance suggesting upper ridging into the central CONUS by next
week. This will continue to support above average temperatures
and an overall dry forecast.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 625 PM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

VFR conditions persisting through the period with some high
clouds present at times. Winds mostly light under 10 kts 
overnight but increasing from the NW through the morning and
reaching sustained speeds of 15-20kts by the afternoon for all 
sites except perhaps BJI if the trees provide enough sheltering 
at the surface. Gusts will frequently be upwards of 25kts
tomorrow afternoon with DVL, GFK and FAR seeing the best chance
of > 30 kt gusts though confidence in that occurring is still
below 50%.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...None.
MN...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...CJ
AVIATION...TT