014 
FXUS62 KFFC 240541
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1241 AM EST Wed Dec 24 2025


...New 06Z Aviation Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1214 AM EST Wed Dec 24 2025

 - Record to near record warmth is anticipated through Christmas
   and into the upcoming weekend.

 - Next notable chance for rain is from Sunday afternoon into 
   Monday morning associated with a cold front.

 - Much cooler temperatures would move in behind the front for 
   early next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Wednesday)
Issued at 141 PM EST Tue Dec 23 2025

Forecast Considerations through Christmas Eve:

The main point of interest in the forecast through Christmas Eve 
will be the unusual warmth. Tonight's low temperatures will be in the 
50s, meaning that most of north and central Georgia will start off 
Christmas Eve with temperatures that are already close to average 
high temperatures. Westerly winds will bring WAA during the day and 
by the time the afternoon arrives 70 degree temperatures will be 
widespread. The record high for Atlanta is 73 degrees (set in 2016), 
and this should get replaced with a new record (90% chance). Daily 
record highs are more robust at the rest of the regional climate 
sites (Athens 77 degrees, Columbus 79 degrees & Macon 77 degrees), 
but several of these could fall as well. Of the three Macon has the 
best odds of reaching a new record, right around an 84% chance. All 
the probabilities here are derived from NBM guidance. The primary
bust factor in the forecast is cloud cover. More clouds than 
forecast would reduce the potential for record highs, while fewer 
would increase in the potential for multiple records to fall. 

Some patchy dense fog is possible tonight south of Columbus, but in 
general the westerly surface flow should keep the needed Gulf 
moisture focused over south Georgia. Impacts are possible for 
anyone traveling to southern Georgia tomorrow morning.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday morning through next Monday)
Issued at 141 PM EST Tue Dec 23 2025

The long term period will pick up on Christmas Day with continued 
warm temperatures across the region. A broad 500 mb ridge over the 
Great Plains will advance towards the eastern CONUS while surface 
high pressure moves across the northern Gulf coast. This high 
pressure regime will keep unseasonably warm temperatures in place
into the weekend. Lows on Christmas morning will largely start 
out in the low to mid 50s across north and central Georgia. Aside 
from highs in the mid to upper 60s in the highest elevations, 
highs will then rise into the mid to upper 70s in the afternoon. 
These high temperatures will be 15-23 degrees above daily normals,
and could furthermore push record high temperatures at our four 
main climate sites (Atlanta, Athens, Macon, and Columbus). These 
low and high temperatures will remain fairly consistent through at
least Saturday. Late Friday into Saturday, a shortwave and 
associated surface low will move across the Ohio Valley region, 
which could spread isolated to scattered light showers into 
portions of far north Georgia, though rainfall amounts are 
expected to be negligible.

By late Saturday, the persistent mid/upper level ridge will have 
broken down and will be replaced by a more progressive flow pattern. 
Ensemble guidance continues to indicate the merging of the 
subtropical and polar jet streams, which could bring a jet streak 
across the Great Lakes and Ohio River Valley on Sunday. A quickly 
developing surface low will then extend a cold front through 
Tennessee  and towards the Lower Mississippi River Valley during the 
daytime on Sunday. As the low moves northeastward, the front is 
anticipated to push into far north Georgia Sunday night, advancing 
southward through the overnight hours into Monday morning. Scattered 
showers will be ongoing ahead of the front, with chances diminishing 
early Monday as the front weakens in central Georgia. Model 
uncertainty remains on how much instability will be present in the 
warm sector overnight, which will determine the chances of 
thunderstorms along with these showers. Noticeably colder air will 
set up on the back side of the front, first in far northwest 
Georgia by Monday morning, then across the entire forecast area by
Monday afternoon.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1214 AM EST Wed Dec 24 2025

VFR at all sites to start TAF period. An area of low VFR 030-050
CIGs across NW GA is slowly moving into the north side of the ATL
area sites. These will likely push over the rest of the ATL area 
sites through the morning hours. Current TAF has CIGs staying VFR
at ATL, but there's a chance these fall to MVFR. CIGs gradually 
lift and scatter out by late morning to early afternoon. Light 
winds overnight flip to NW after sunrise at around 5-9 kts.

//ATL Confidence...06Z Update...

Medium for CIGs through this morning. High on all other elements.

Culver

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          53  75  55  73 /  10   0  10  10 
Atlanta         54  75  55  73 /  10   0  10  10 
Blairsville     51  68  52  68 /  20  10  20  10 
Cartersville    53  74  54  74 /  10   0  10  10 
Columbus        51  75  52  75 /   0   0  10   0 
Gainesville     54  73  56  71 /  10   0  10  10 
Macon           52  78  53  76 /   0   0   0   0 
Rome            55  75  56  75 /  10   0  10  10 
Peachtree City  52  76  53  73 /   0   0  10   0 
Vidalia         53  78  54  77 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Albright
LONG TERM....King
AVIATION...Culver