National Weather Service Text Product
AFOS product AFDFWD
Dates interpreted at 00:00 UTCDisplaying AFOS PIL: AFDFWD
Product Timestamp: 2025-12-23 23:46 UTC
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213 FXUS64 KFWD 232346 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 546 PM CST Tue Dec 23 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - Well above-average and potentially record warm temperatures are expected through the rest of the week, including Christmas Eve and Christmas Day. - A strong cold front will bring strong winds and more winter- like temperatures back to the region starting Sunday through the early part of next week. && .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Wednesday) Issued at 1231 PM CST Tue Dec 23 2025 Warm conditions (temperature and humidity) are expected through the end of the week, and the main headline continues to be the potential for record warmth each day and night. Both DFW and Waco are forecasted to be very close to or above record warm overnight lows and daytime highs on several days starting tonight and continuing through Saturday. An upper level ridge continues to strengthen over the region today and will remain persistent through the end of the week. Southerly flow will keep ample moisture/humidity in place through the end of the week, but as our low level flow shifts more southwesterly later in the week, some minor drying will occur. Fairly widespread cloudy conditions are expected again Wednesday morning, but over the next few days the morning clouds are likely to be more confined to areas south of I-20 and/or east of I-45 due to more southwesterly winds above the surface. Fog is expected tonight, mainly along and south of I-20. The coverage in North Texas is expected to be patchy, but more widespread coverage is likely in Central Texas. Some areas of Central Texas may have some dense fog for just a few hours after sunrise Wednesday morning, and a Dense Fog Advisory may be needed. Some patchy fog is expected again across parts of Central Texas Thursday/Christmas morning, with another round of patchy fog in our southeast Friday morning. && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday night through next Monday) Issued at 1231 PM CST Tue Dec 23 2025 A drastic change in temperatures will occur Sunday as a strong cold front plows through the region bringing gusty north winds and temperatures that are 15-20 degrees cooler than this week. It will certainly feel more like winter as overnight lows Sunday night fall into the lower 30s to near 40 degrees, and high temperatures on Monday are currently forecasted in the mid 40s to mid 50s. Outdoor decorations will need to be secured Sunday and temperature sensitive plants will need to covered Sunday night, in particular north to west of the DFW Metroplex where overnight lows will fall into the lower 30s. As the front moves through on Sunday, there is a low chance for showers across the eastern 1/4 of our CWA. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 525 PM CST Tue Dec 23 2025 An additional round of MVFR/IFR conditions will arrive early Wednesday morning, with higher confidence in IFR ceilings/ vis from around 13-17Z at Waco. There is a ~30% chance for Waco to drop to LIFR during this timeframe with fog and cigs as low as 300 ft, but confidence is too low to include in the current TAF. For D10, have introduced a brief window/TEMPO from 13-15Z for IFR cigs, with less confidence in the extent of visibility reductions lower than 5-6 SM. Ceilings should improve to a SCT-BKN low-end VFR deck late morning with gradual clearing into the early afternoon. South winds tonight near 6-10 kts will increase in speed after returning to VFR. Afternoon winds will increase to 11-14 kts with occasional gustiness to around 20 kts before diminishing to less than 10 kts again tomorrow evening. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 65 77 64 81 / 0 0 0 0 Waco 66 77 65 79 / 0 0 0 0 Paris 64 76 63 78 / 0 0 0 0 Denton 62 77 61 80 / 0 0 0 0 McKinney 64 77 62 79 / 0 0 0 0 Dallas 66 79 65 81 / 0 0 0 0 Terrell 64 77 64 79 / 0 0 0 0 Corsicana 66 78 67 81 / 0 0 0 0 Temple 65 77 65 81 / 0 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 61 80 59 86 / 0 0 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...JLDunn LONG TERM....JLDunn AVIATION...Gordon