613 
FXUS64 KFWD 231833 AAA
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1233 PM CST Tue Dec 23 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Well above-average and potentially record warm temperatures are
  expected through the rest of the week, including Christmas Eve 
  and Christmas Day.

- A strong cold front will bring strong winds and more winter-
  like temperatures back to the region starting Sunday through the
  early part of next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 1231 PM CST Tue Dec 23 2025
Warm conditions (temperature and humidity) are expected through 
the end of the week, and the main headline continues to be the
potential for record warmth each day and night. Both DFW and Waco
are forecasted to be very close to or above record warm overnight
lows and daytime highs on several days starting tonight and 
continuing through Saturday.

An upper level ridge continues to strengthen over the region 
today and will remain persistent through the end of the week.
Southerly flow will keep ample moisture/humidity in place through
the end of the week, but as our low level flow shifts more
southwesterly later in the week, some minor drying will occur.
Fairly widespread cloudy conditions are expected again Wednesday
morning, but over the next few days the morning clouds are likely
to be more confined to areas south of I-20 and/or east of I-45 
due to more southwesterly winds above the surface.

Fog is expected tonight, mainly along and south of I-20. The
coverage in North Texas is expected to be patchy, but more 
widespread coverage is likely in Central Texas. Some areas of 
Central Texas may have some dense fog for just a few hours after 
sunrise Wednesday morning, and a Dense Fog Advisory may be needed.
Some patchy fog is expected again across parts of Central Texas 
Thursday/Christmas morning, with another round of patchy fog in 
our southeast Friday morning.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through next Monday)
Issued at 1231 PM CST Tue Dec 23 2025

A drastic change in temperatures will occur Sunday as a strong 
cold front plows through the region bringing gusty north winds and
temperatures that are 15-20 degrees cooler than this week. It 
will certainly feel more like winter as overnight lows Sunday 
night fall into the lower 30s to near 40 degrees, and high 
temperatures on Monday are currently forecasted in the mid 40s to 
mid 50s. Outdoor decorations will need to be secured Sunday and 
temperature sensitive plants will need to covered Sunday night, in
particular north to west of the DFW Metroplex where overnight 
lows will fall into the lower 30s. As the front moves through on 
Sunday, there is a low chance for showers across the eastern 1/4 
of our CWA. 

&&

.CLIMATE...

Dallas/Fort Worth:

Overnight Low Temperature Forecast (and Highest Low Temperature Record):
Wednesday 12/24:	65 (Record of 60 set in 2021)
Thursday 12/25: 	64 (Record of 69 set in 2016)
Friday 12/26:		63 (Record of 65 set in 2008)
Saturday 12/27: 	66 (Record of 62 set in 2021)


Maximum Temperature Forecast (and Records):
Wednesday 12/24:	77 (Record of 88 set in 1955)
Thursday 12/25: 	81 (Record of 82 set in 2021)
Friday 12/26:		84 (Record of 83 set in 2008)
Saturday 12/27: 	81 (Record of 82 set in 2005)


Waco:

Overnight Low Temperature Forecast (and Highest Low Temperature Record):
Wednesday 12/24:	66 (Record of 63 set in 2021)
Thursday 12/25: 	65 (Record of 67 set in 2016)
Friday 12/26:		64 (Record of 65 set in 2008)
Saturday 12/27: 	66 (Record of 66 set in 1971)

Wednesday 12/24:	77 (Record of 91 set in 1955)
Thursday 12/25:		79 (Record of 82 set in 2021)
Friday 12/26:		83 (Record of 84 set in 2016)
Saturday 12/27:		79 (Record of 85 set in 2005)

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1231 PM CST Tue Dec 23 2025

Low-end VFR SCT-BKN cigs will remain across the region through 
mid afternoon, and then the overall coverage should be reduced for
the remainder of the day. IFR and MVFR cigs will return late 
tonight/early Wednesday morning.

IFR cigs and reduced visibilities due to fog are expected at KACT
starting around 10Z. Low MVFR cigs are expected in the DFW 
Metroplex around 11-12Z. There is a low chance for IFR cigs at 
the DFW Airports, and IFR may be included in future TAF issuances. 
Conditions will improve in the late morning to early afternoon 
hours with fog dissipating and cigs returning to low-end VFR.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    78  65  77  64 /   0   0   0   0 
Waco                77  66  77  65 /   0   0   0   0 
Paris               74  64  76  63 /   0   0   0   0 
Denton              79  62  77  61 /   0   0   0   0 
McKinney            77  64  77  62 /   0   0   0   0 
Dallas              78  66  79  65 /   0   0   0   0 
Terrell             77  64  77  64 /   0   0   0   0 
Corsicana           79  66  78  67 /   0   0   0   0 
Temple              79  65  77  65 /   0   0   0   0 
Mineral Wells       82  61  80  59 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...JLDunn
LONG TERM....JLDunn
AVIATION...JLDunn