950 
FXUS64 KFWD 231744
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1144 AM CST Tue Dec 23 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Well above-average and potentially record warm temperatures are
  expected through the rest of the week, including Christmas Eve 
  and Christmas Day.

- A strong cold front will bring strong winds and more winter-
  like temperatures back to the region starting Sunday through the
  early part of next week.
  

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Saturday)
Issued at 1144 AM CST Tue Dec 23 2025

Warm conditions are expected through the end of the week, and the
main headline continues to be the potential for record warmth 
each day and night. Both DFW and Waco are forecasted to be very 
close to or above record warm overnight lows and daytime highs  
several days this week, starting tonight and continuing through 
Saturday.

An upper level ridge continues to strengthen over the region 
today and will remain persistent through the end of the week.
Southerly flow will keep ample moisture/humidity in place through
the end of the week, but as our low level flow shifts more
southwesterly later in the week, some minor drying will occur.
Fairly widespread cloudy conditions are expected again Wednesday
morning, but over the next few days, the morning clouds are likely
to be more confined to areas south of I-20 and/or east of I-45 due
to more southwesterly winds above the surface.

Fog is expected tonight, mainly along and south of I-20. The
coverage in North Texas is expected to be patchy, but more 
widespread coverage is likely in Central Texas. Some areas of 
Central Texas may have some dense fog for just a few hours after 
sunrise Wednesday morning, and a Dense Fog Advisory may be needed.
Some patchy fog is expected again across parts of Central Texas 
Thursday/Christmas morning, with another round of patchy fog in 
our southeast Friday morning.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 1144 AM CST Tue Dec 23 2025

A drastic change in temperatures will occur Sunday as a strong 
cold front plows through the region, bringing gusty north winds 
and temperatures that are 15-20 degrees cooler than this week. It 
will certainly feel more like winter as overnight lows Sunday 
night fall into the lower 30s to near 40 degrees, with high 
temperatures on Monday currently forecasted in the mid 40s to mid
50s. Outdoor decorations will need to be secured Sunday and 
temperature sensitive plants will need to covered Sunday night,
especially north and west of the DFW Metroplex where overnight 
lows will fall into the lower 30s. As the front moves through on 
Sunday, there is a low chance for showers across the eastern 1/4 
of our CWA. 

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1144 AM CST Tue Dec 23 2025

Low-end VFR sct-bkn cigs will remain across the region through 
mid afternoon, and then the overall coverage should be reduced for
the remainder of the day. IFR and MVFR cigs will return late
tonight/early Wednesday morning. IFR cigs and reduced visibilities
due to fog are expected at KACT starting around 10Z. Low MVFR cigs
are expected in the DFW Metroplex around 11-12Z. There is a low
chance for IFR cigs at the Metroplex airports, and we will 
continue to monitor this potential. Conditions will improve in the
late morning hours.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    79  64  78  61 /   0   0   0   0 
Waco                78  65  77  62 /   0   0   0   0 
Paris               74  63  75  61 /   0   0   0   0 
Denton              79  62  78  58 /   0   0   0   0 
McKinney            78  64  77  60 /   0   0   0   0 
Dallas              79  64  78  62 /   0   0   0   0 
Terrell             77  65  76  61 /   0   0   0   0 
Corsicana           79  66  76  63 /   0   0   0   0 
Temple              79  64  76  61 /   0   0   0   0 
Mineral Wells       81  61  79  57 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...JLDunn
LONG TERM....JLDunn
AVIATION...JLDunn