AFOS product AFDSJT
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Displaying AFOS PIL: AFDSJT
Product Timestamp: 2025-12-03 18:38 UTC

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FXUS64 KSJT 031838
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1238 PM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

...New LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...  
 
-  Another cold front will move through the area this afternoon
   and evening. This will lower highs down into the 40s for 
   Thursday.

-  Low chance (15-20%) for scattered showers on Thursday, along 
   with colder temperatures. 

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 100 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

Skies are mostly clear this morning across west central Texas with 
temperatures in the mid 40s.  Southerly winds were occurring as a 
surface trough was developing over the Panhandle. The surface trough 
was developing on the edge of a strong cold front, which will move 
southward into west central Texas this afternoon and evening.  Ahead 
of the front, the airmass should be warm enough to support high 
temperatures in the upper 60s to low 70s.  For areas along and north 
of Interstate 20, temperatures look to only reach the low 60s before 
the front arrives.  The front will continue southward this evening 
and reach the Concho Valley and I-10 corridor around 10pm.  Behind 
the front, temperatures should fall into the 30s by late tonight.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1231 PM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

Mostly benign weather in the longer term portion of the forecast.
In general, upper level trough over the eastern US and upper ridge
over the west will allow for a dry northwest flow across the
Southern Plains. Several weak shortwaves will move across the
area, but limited moisture with them so precipitation chances will
remain very limited. Same basic pattern with these waves, with
warmer southwest/west surface winds ahead of the system (this
coming Saturday and next Wednesday), followed by a cold
front dragging a colder air mass into the area (this Sunday and
next Thursday). Coldest night over the next week will be Monday
morning when radiational cooling allows temperatures to drop to
near or below freezing across the area.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1152 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

A cold front will move south across the terminals late this
afternoon and evening. Frontal passage is expected at KABI around 
20Z this afternoon, KSJT and KBBD between 04/01Z and 04/02Z and 
KSOA and KJCT by 04/05Z. Gusty north winds Will develop behind the
front overnight into tomorrow morning, along with stratus 
developing after midnight. MVFR ceilings are expected to develop 
and persist across the terminals through morning hours. Could see 
some very light showers or drizzle develop across the area 
tomorrow morning, but confidence is too low to mention at this 
time. 

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     36  43  32  63 /  10  20   0   0 
San Angelo  36  46  34  63 /   0  10  10   0 
Junction    38  50  34  62 /  10  20  10  10 
Brownwood   37  45  32  59 /  10  30   0   0 
Sweetwater  35  42  33  63 /  10  10   0   0 
Ozona       37  48  35  59 /   0   0  10  10 
Brady       39  45  34  59 /  10  20  10  10 

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...SK
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...24