998 
FXUS62 KJAX 291726
AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
1226 PM EST Sat Nov 29 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit:
https:/www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf

- High Risk for Rip Currents at NE Florida Beaches Today

- Potential for Strong Thunderstorms Tuesday

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Mostly dry weather today with increased cloud cover and a potential 
for very light drizzle this evening primarily along the coast as 
high pressure moves off to the northeast and the prevailing flow 
shifts to become more out of the gulf, bringing in more humid 
conditions  through the weekend. Breezy onshore surface level winds 
will peak this afternoon before becoming more mild and variable 
during the evening and overnight hours. High temperatures today will 
be in the 60s for southeast Georgia and in the upper 60s and lower 
70s for northeast Florida. Overnight low temperatures will drop down 
into the mid 40s over southeast Georgia and in the 50s over 
northeast Florida. Patchy fog developments are anticipated overnight 
and into the early morning hours on Sunday, primarily affecting 
areas near and west of the I-95 corridor and extending along the St 
Johns river basin through southeast Georgia and northeast Florida.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
High pressure will move away to the northeast Sunday morning, with a 
cold front moving southeast across SE GA Sunday afternoon. This 
front will then move across NE FL Sunday night. The front will stall 
to the south Monday, then lift north across region Monday night as a 
warm front, as an area of low pressure lifts northeast out of the 
Gulf. 

Dry weather is expected as the frontal boundary moves through Sunday 
into Sunday night, but chances will increase Monday into Monday 
night, as it lifts back through as a warm front with increasing 
moisture. 

Temperatures will trend above normal this period.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
The low will track northeast of the region Tuesday, with the 
associated cold front moving southeast across area. Showers and 
thunderstorms will accompany this frontal passage. A few strong
storms will be possible. 

High pressure will build to the northwest Tuesday night, then to the 
north Wednesday. The high will move away to the northeast Thursday, 
as another low moves northeast out of the Gulf Thursday night into 
Friday. The front associated with this low may stall over area 
Friday night into Saturday, bringing a prolonged period of rainfall 
beginning Friday. 

Above normal temperatures can be expected Tuesday, with readings 
then trending below through the rest of this period.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/...
VFR conditions will be in place through the forecast period with 
breezy northeasterly winds decreasing this evening and becoming more 
mild and variable overnight.

&&

.MARINE...


High pressure will build north northeast of the waters today as a 
coastal trough develops over the local waters. The coastal trough 
will break down Sunday into Monday as a weakening front approaches 
from the north then begins to stall just north of the local waters 
into Monday night. This front will morph into a lifting warm front 
ahead of a stronger frontal system as it approaches late Monday into 
Tuesday. Southerly winds increase Tuesday near Small Craft levels 
with a chance of thunderstorms. The front is expected to push south 
of the local waters late Tuesday, then high pressure builds 
northwest of the region mid-week as winds subside below Advisory 
levels.

Rip Currents: SE GA Low Sunday
              NE FL Moderate Sunday

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...


High pressure will move off to the northeast Today. A weak cold 
front will move southeast across area Sunday into Sunday night. High 
pressure will build to the north then northeast Monday. An area of 
low pressure will move northeast out of the Gulf Monday night, with 
its associated cold front moving through Tuesday. High pressure will 
build to the northwest then north Tuesday night into Wednesday. 

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...Patchy fog possible Tonight, and 
again Sunday night. A round of showers and thunderstorms is expected 
Monday night and Tuesday, with a few strong storms possible.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
AMG  43  71  47  66 /   0   0  10  20 
SSI  54  71  55  68 /  10   0   0  10 
JAX  51  76  54  71 /  10   0  10  10 
SGJ  59  76  60  75 /   0   0  10  10 
GNV  52  79  55  77 /   0   0  10  10 
OCF  54  79  57  78 /   0  10  10  10 

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Risk for Rip Currents through late tonight for FLZ124-125-138-
     233-333.
GA...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$