468 
FXUS64 KMOB 261205
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
605 AM CST Wed Nov 26 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 604 AM CST Wed Nov 26 2025

 - Strong offshore flow will create hazardous conditions for small
   craft across portions of the marine area Wednesday night into 
   Friday morning.

 - There is a moderate risk of life threatening rip currents at
   area beaches Wednesday, then a high risk is anticipated this
   weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1027 PM CST Tue Nov 25 2025

A cold front has advanced into the western portion of the area and 
will continue through the remainder of the area overnight. Oddly 
enough, the frontal boundary is fairly weak at the moment and 
patchy fog, dense in some locations, has developed over southeast 
Mississippi and portions of southwest Alabama. The fog is expected
to dissipate overnight as cooler and drier air begins to move 
into the area in the wake of the front. Dry conditions are 
expected for Wednesday through Saturday as a large surface ridge
shifts across the region in the wake of the cold front. A deep
surface low develops over the Plains on Saturday then moves off
across the Great Lakes region and in the process brings a cold 
front through the forecast area on Sunday. A series of 
shortwaves move across the region Saturday night ahead of the 
approaching front, and while it appears that shear values would be
sufficient to warrant concern, instability looks to be sorely 
lacking and precluding the potential for strong storms. For 
Sunday, shear values are currently indicated to be low, and it's 
not clear how much instability will be able to develop over the 
area before the front moves through. Will need to monitor at this 
point.

Highs on Wednesday generally range from the mid/upper 60s well 
inland to the lower 70s closer to the coast. Highs on Thanksgiving
Day range from the mid/upper 50s well inland to the lower 60s 
closer to the coast. Highs on Friday will be a bit cooler, then 
temperatures moderate through Sunday to highs in the mid 60s to 
around 70. Highs trend cooler Monday into Tuesday, with highs on 
Tuesday ranging from the mid 50s well inland to the mid 60s at the
coast. Lows Wednesday night range from the mid 30s well inland to
the lower 40s at the coast, then lows Thursday night range from 
around 30 well inland to near 40 at the coast. Overnight lows 
trend by Saturday night to range from the lower 40s well inland to
the mid 50s at the coast, then in the wake of Sunday's cold 
front, lows by Monday night dip to around 40 well inland to around
50 at the coast. A moderate risk of rip currents on Wednesday 
will be followed by a low risk through Friday. A high risk of rip 
currents is expected for this weekend. /29

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 604 AM CST Wed Nov 26 2025

VFR conditions have returned to the area as the cold front has
pushed offshore. Winds will quickly turn north-northwesterly 
behind the front and increase during the day to around 15 knots 
gusting to 20 knots. VFR condition should persist through the 
remainder of the forecast. BB-8

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1027 PM CST Tue Nov 25 2025

A moderate northerly flow develops overnight into Wednesday morning, 
then a moderate to strong offshore flow follows for Wednesday night. 
The offshore flow diminishes somewhat on Thursday then strengthens 
mainly over the open Gulf waters Thursday night. A northeasterly 
flow develops on Friday then becomes southeasterly on Saturday. A
Small Craft Advisory is in effect for most of the marine area 
Wednesday night then tapers to over the 20-60 nm portion for late 
Thursday morning through Friday morning. May need to consider 
adding the near shore waters to the Small Craft Advisory late 
Thursday night into early Friday morning. /29

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      70  39  60  36 /   0   0   0   0 
Pensacola   72  43  61  40 /   0   0   0   0 
Destin      74  44  63  40 /  10   0   0   0 
Evergreen   70  35  60  30 /   0   0   0   0 
Waynesboro  65  34  58  31 /   0   0   0   0 
Camden      64  34  55  28 /   0   0   0   0 
Crestview   73  36  61  31 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 8 AM CST Thursday 
     for GMZ630>632.

     Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 10 AM CST 
     Thursday for GMZ650-655.

     Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM this evening to noon CST Friday 
     for GMZ670-675.

&&

$$