National Weather Service Text Product
AFOS product AFDPDT
Dates interpreted at 00:00 UTCDisplaying AFOS PIL: AFDPDT
Product Timestamp: 2025-11-19 09:26 UTC
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795 FXUS66 KPDT 190926 AFDPDT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pendleton OR 126 AM PST Wed Nov 19 2025 .DISCUSSION...Skies are clearing across much of the forecast area early this morning as a ridge of high pressure accompanied by cold and dry air slides into the PacNW. Low clouds are lingering (and even building) across some of our elevated valleys in central and eastern Oregon, but otherwise much of the Basin and mountain foothills are seeing clear skies. Could see patchy fog develop across some of our usual fog-prone areas along river valleys, but given the lack of a temperature inversion present across obs, thinking is that this morning will just be cold, with much of the forecast area seeing below-freezing temps. As of this discussion's writing, the Freeze Warning in the Columbia River Gorge is flirting with verification with temps in the mid to upper 30s, and as long as low stratus does not form via light easterly winds, the last of our freeze-eligible zones should finally fall. Looking ahead, Wednesday will be dry before our forecast area is clipped by the next system - a low diving to our south and east before settling over southern California. The trajectory of this system is not favorable for widespread precip, so as of now, the forecast for late Wednesday into Thursday looks to be that of light mountain snow generally less than an inch above primarily 4500-5000 ft, with perhaps a stray shower impacting the Basin (15-30%) via wraparound moisture from the low as it digs to our south. But with most of this system's moisture landing to our west, impacts are overall anticipated to be minimal. We enter another relatively benign pattern Friday through Sunday as ridging, slightly dirty in nature, prevails over the region. Guidance favors persistent shower chances across primarily the WA Cascades over the weekend, but QPF is once again minuscule. Ensemble guidance starts to diverge Monday onward, but some members do depict an upper-level wave moving down from the ridge upon us early Monday morning, which would provide for the next-best chance for area-wide precip. But beyond that, forecast confidence weakens (30-40%) as ensemble solutions diverge in light of a relatively progressive synoptic pattern. 74 && .AVIATION...06z TAFs (Previous Discussion)...An area of cloudiness extended from east of PSC through PDT and southwest to east of BDN and RDM. There were a few embedded -SHRA in the clouds. These clouds will continue moving east with clearing behind as high pressure moves into the region. VFR conditions and light winds are expected through Wednesday. Clouds will being to increase by the end of the period as the next system approaches Wednesday night. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... PDT 48 32 47 32 / 0 20 30 0 ALW 48 35 46 36 / 0 20 40 10 PSC 49 32 49 30 / 0 10 10 0 YKM 48 32 50 29 / 0 20 10 0 HRI 48 34 48 31 / 0 20 20 0 ELN 45 29 48 29 / 0 20 10 10 RDM 50 28 47 23 / 0 60 20 0 LGD 50 34 50 30 / 0 20 50 10 GCD 53 35 49 29 / 0 30 40 0 DLS 50 39 52 36 / 0 60 40 10 && .PDT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OR...Freeze Warning until 10 AM PST this morning for ORZ041. WA...Freeze Warning until 10 AM PST this morning for WAZ024. && $$ DISCUSSION...74 AVIATION...77