513 
FXUS62 KFFC 181841
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
141 PM EST Tue Nov 18 2025

...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...

 
 - Above normal temperatures will stick around into next week,
   with several daily record highs likely (70% chance) between 
   Wednesday and Friday

 - Light rainfall is possible across north Georgia Tuesday night
   and region wide Saturday, but improvements to the ongoing 
   drought situation are unlikely as a result.


&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Wednesday)
Issued at 122 PM EST Tue Nov 18 2025

Rain Chances Tonight & Wednesday Morning:

Don't get to excited by the section descriptor, if you live south of 
Interstate 20 rain is not something you should anticipate. For those 
north of Interstate 20 (mainly the mountains) a trough moving 
through the Ohio Valley and a weak front may generate some modest 
rainfall between 10 PM tonight and noon on Wednesday. The best rain 
chances (50-60%) are expected between 1 AM and 7 AM. MUCAPE in the 
200 to 500 J/kg range suggests the potential for a couple of 
lightning strikes. Severe weather is not anticipated, especially 
with the instability being elevated. Rain showers should decrease in 
coverage quickly on Wednesday morning. Peak rainfall accumulations 
in the 0.10 to 0.25 inch range are possible, though the vast 
majority of north Georgia will see lower amounts (0.10 inches or 
less).

Near Record High Temperatures Wednesday:

Despite some morning cloud cover high temperatures will lean heavily 
towards anomalous warmth on Wednesday. Widespread afternoon highs 
that are 12 to 18 degrees above average have been in the forecast, 
and they remain in the forecast with this afternoons update. This 
should translate to upper 70s in north Georgia and lower 80s in 
central Georgia. Places like Atlanta and Athens should be with in 2 
to 4 degrees of record highs Wednesday afternoon. The record high in 
Atlanta for the date is 80 degrees from 1942, and the NBM gives the 
city a 28% chance to reach or exceed this value. We'll probably need 
morning cloud cover to be limited to have a chance. Macon and 
Columbus should approach record highs as well, though the odds 
suggest we won't break these records either (34% chance in Macon 20% 
chance in Columbus).

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday morning through next Monday)
Issued at 122 PM EST Tue Nov 18 2025

The extended periods start off with weak ridging keeping things dry 
but that will be short lived. High pressure centered off the 
SC/GA coast keeps a warm frontal boundary north of the state 
through early Fri morning. This ridging will allow temps to reach 
into the upper 70s to the lower 80s across much of the area Thu 
and Fri. We will be on the lookout for record breaking day time 
highs, with all 4 climate sites (ATL, AHN, CSG, MCN) either 
forecasted to break the record or tie/approach the record. Temps 
expected to be 15-20 degrees above seasonal norms. 

By Thu afternoon...the next frontal system will be developing over 
the southern plains as a closed low centered deepens over northern 
TX and OK through Friday morning. Its associated cold front will 
push into the lower to mid MS river valley Thu night with the
deeper moisture knocking on NW Georgia's doorstep shortly after 
sunrise Fri. Warm moist SW flow sets up ahead of this frontal 
boundary with will also help increase those daytime highs Friday. 
Looks like showers will begin to push into NW GA around Mid day 
slowly moving SE across the region through Saturday night. We 
should mainly see showers and isolated thunderstorms with this 
system as instability indices are really not that great with this
system. Anticipating some gusty winds along the front with any 
stronger storms but not expecting any severe weather. Things clear
out again for Sunday with increasing clouds again Monday ahead of
the next frontal boundary developing across the southern plains. 

QPF values are in the 0.25" to 0.75" with the Fri/Sat system with 
north Georgia likely to see the higher amounts. This front does dry 
out a bit as it moves SE, so Central Georgia will only see 0.1" or 
less and some locations may not see anything at all.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1232 PM EST Tue Nov 18 2025

VFR conditions (FEW to SCT AOA 4000 ft AGL & unrestricted 
visibility) will continue through 03Z Wednesday. Winds during this
time range will be from the south (170 to 210 degrees) at 2 to 8 
kt. MVFR ceilings (1500 to 3000 ft AGL) will gradually build into
north Georgia after 03Z Wednesday. Visibility restrictions may 
occur in the north Georgia mountains due to rain showers between 
06Z and 15Z Wednesday. West winds (3 to 10 kt from 250 to 290 
degrees) will develop for all after 14Z Wednesday.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Moderate confidence in all elements of the KATL TAF.

Albright

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          52  77  54  78 /  10  20   0   0 
Atlanta         56  77  58  79 /  10  10   0   0 
Blairsville     49  70  51  72 /  60  30   0   0 
Cartersville    56  76  55  79 /  30  20   0  10 
Columbus        53  81  57  83 /   0   0   0   0 
Gainesville     54  75  55  77 /  30  30   0   0 
Macon           50  81  56  82 /   0   0   0   0 
Rome            59  79  56  80 /  60  20   0  10 
Peachtree City  54  79  56  81 /  10  10   0   0 
Vidalia         51  82  57  83 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Albright
LONG TERM....01
AVIATION...Albright