367 
FXUS64 KMOB 140538
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1138 PM CST Thu Nov 13 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1138 PM CST Thu Nov 13 2025

 - Patchy fog may develop late tonight and Friday night mainly 
   across interior areas.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1048 AM CST Thu Nov 13 2025

Through Saturday night, a large and broad upper ridge advances 
across the central CONUS then dampens out as a large upper trof 
swings across the northern Plains and into the interior eastern 
states. An eastern states surface ridge shifts across the forecast
area and becomes oriented over the northern Gulf through Saturday
which allows for a light southerly flow to become established 
over the forecast area. Patchy fog development will be possible 
mainly over the interior areas tonight and Friday night as winds 
become calm with a mostly open radiative channel. The upper trof 
mostly moves off into the western Atlantic through Monday, and a 
surface low passing well off to the north meanwhile brings a weak 
cold front into central MS/AL on Sunday, potentially progressing 
into the forecast area. Deep layer moisture looks to remain too 
limited through Sunday to support pops and have continued with a 
dry forecast despite the potential for the frontal boundary to 
move into the area.

A surface low is anticipated to develop over the central Plains 
on Monday in response to a shortwave trof. The weak frontal 
boundary over central MS/AL (potentially over the forecast area) 
meanwhile lifts northward to roughly across Tennessee, with the 
shortwave trof weakening while progressing across the interior 
eastern states through Tuesday morning. The surface low looks to 
dissipate with the weakening of the shortwave trof, and have 
continued with a dry forecast for Monday and Tuesday as the weak 
boundary lifts north of the area. A large upper trof advances 
across the western states going into Wednesday then looks to 
partially eject across the central states on Thursday, with an 
accompanying surface low. Dry conditions prevail over the area on 
Wednesday except for a slight chance for rain over the westernmost
portion, then for Thursday will have slight chance to chance pops
as the Plains system may bring a frontal boundary to near the 
lower Mississippi River valley.

A low risk of rip currents is expected through Tuesday. Lows
tonight range from the mid/upper 40s inland to the lower 50s 
closer to the coast. Lows Friday night may be a bit cooler, then 
Saturday night and Sunday night will be milder with lows ranging 
from the lower 50s inland to near 60 at the coast. Temperatures 
continue to moderate going into Tuesday night when lows range from
the mid/upper 50s well inland to the lower 60s closer to the 
coast. Lows Wednesday night will be similar. Highs on Friday will 
be in the mid to upper 70s then slowly trend to the upper 70s to 
lower 80s for Tuesday and Wednesday. Highs on Thursday will be 75 
to 80. /29

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1138 PM CST Thu Nov 13 2025

VFR conditions will prevail through Friday along with light and 
variable winds. Some patchy MVFR/IFR fog will be possible 
overnight but will quickly clear Friday morning. /13

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1048 AM CST Thu Nov 13 2025

A light westerly to northwesterly flow becomes easterly on Friday 
and southerly on Saturday. A westerly to southwesterly flow on 
Sunday turns southerly for Monday and Tuesday. No impacts are 
anticipated through Tuesday. /29

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      52  76  51  76 /   0   0   0   0 
Pensacola   54  74  53  74 /   0   0   0   0 
Destin      56  73  56  73 /   0   0   0   0 
Evergreen   45  77  45  78 /   0   0   0   0 
Waynesboro  48  77  49  78 /   0   0   0   0 
Camden      44  76  46  77 /   0   0   0   0 
Crestview   45  76  43  77 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$