039 
FXUS64 KFWD 131142
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
542 AM CST Thu Nov 13 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A warming trend will continue through this weekend, with highs
  in the 80s expected.

- Showers and thunderstorm chances return late Monday onward, 
  with the highest chances near the middle of next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Friday)
Issued at 1215 AM CST Thu Nov 13 2025

Persistent mid/upper riding will keep a dry forecast over North
and Central Texas through the short-term forecast period and
beyond. Moist boundary-layer southerly flow will bring the 
potential for low stratus and fog to parts of the region,
especially Central Texas, Thursday and Friday mornings. Expect
afternoon highs in the low to mid 80s through the end of the work
week. 

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1215 AM CST Thu Nov 13 2025

A dry and warm forecast will remain the theme through the weekend
as upper riding maintains its hold over the Southern Plains.
Afternoon high temperatures may approach 90 degrees at a few
locations west of I-35 by Saturday and Sunday. Locally elevated
fire weather conditions may start to materialize west of Highway
281 once again over the weekend as temperatures rise to well
above-normal and surface dewpoints mix into the low 50s during the
afternoon hours. 

The early week disturbance mentioned in previous forecast
continues to trend slower, weaker, and more northward, thus 
lowering rain chances across East Texas to less than 20% late 
Monday into Tuesday. Extended guidance continues to highlight the
development of a deep, broadscale trough over the western CONUS by
the Tuesday-Wednesday timeframe next week. The evolution of this
system would increase rain chances toward the latter half of the
work week across much of the region, therefore we have included
widespread 40-50% rain chances in the forecast for the Wednesday-
Thursday period next week. 

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 526 AM CST Thu Nov 13 2025

Low stratus has developed over the Hill Country this morning and
will shift northeast into parts of Central Texas over the next
couple hours. Patchy fog (some dense) has also developed ahead of
the leading edge of these MVFR cigs. We will maintain the current
TEMPO group for MVFR cigs/vsbys at KACT for a few hours this
morning. It is possible (20% chance) that brief IFR visibility 
reductions occur. These cigs should largely remain south of the
D10 airspace, but intermittent FEW to SCT cigs near 2kft will be
possible for a few hours after 13Z. 

Patchy fog has also developed over the last hour on the eastern
and southeastern fringes of the DFW Metroplex. Not expecting any
impacts to the D10 terminals at the moment. Any lingering fog/low
cigs will quickly dissipate after 16Z-17Z later this morning.
Otherwise, expect south winds at 10-15 kts gusting to 20 kts at
times this afternoon. 

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    81  62  82  61 /   0   0   0   0 
Waco                81  61  82  60 /   0   0   0   0 
Paris               80  60  79  60 /   0   0   0   0 
Denton              80  58  82  57 /   0   0   0   0 
McKinney            80  60  81  60 /   0   0   0   0 
Dallas              81  64  82  62 /   0   0   0   0 
Terrell             81  60  82  60 /   0   0   0   0 
Corsicana           82  63  84  62 /   0   0   0   0 
Temple              82  59  83  58 /   0   0   0   0 
Mineral Wells       85  58  86  57 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Langfeld
LONG TERM....Langfeld
AVIATION...Langfeld