319 
ABNT20 KNHC 191144
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Oct 19 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Near the Windward Islands and the Caribbean Sea (AL98):
A tropical wave currently located near the Windward Islands is 
producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms. Heavy rainfall 
and gusty winds are expected today continuing through Monday morning 
across portions of the Windward and Leeward Islands as the system 
moves quickly westward at 20 to 25 mph into the eastern Caribbean 
Sea. Additional development is forecast to be limited over the next 
day or two, due to the fast forward motion of the wave. The system 
is then expected to slow down over the central Caribbean Sea during 
the middle portion of the week, where environmental conditions could 
become more conducive for development. A tropical depression could 
from over the central Caribbean Sea by the middle to latter portion 
of this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin