218 
ABNT20 KNHC 182341
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Oct 18 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

East of the Windward Islands and the Caribbean Sea (AL98):
A tropical wave located several hundred miles east of the Windward 
Islands continues to produce a broad area of showers and 
thunderstorms.  This system is expected to move quickly westward at 
20 to 25 mph, crossing the Windward Islands during the next day or 
so.  By the middle to latter part of next week, environmental 
conditions could become more favorable for development, and a 
tropical depression could form while the system slows down over the 
central Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development, this system is 
expected to bring heavy rainfall and gusty winds to the Windward 
Islands Sunday into Monday morning.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

North Atlantic: 
A non-tropical, complex area of low pressure is located several 
hundred miles northeast of Bermuda.  Further development of this 
system is not expected due to cooling ocean waters while it moves 
northeastward over the North Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.

$$
Forecaster Bucci/Reinhart