277 
ABNT20 KNHC 172316
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

East of the Windward Islands and the Caribbean Sea:
A tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic around 
1000 miles east of the Windward Islands continues to produce a large 
area of showers and thunderstorms.  Gradual development of this 
system is possible over the next several days while it moves 
generally westward at 15 to 20 mph.  Regardless of development, this 
system is expected to bring heavy rainfall and gusty winds to the 
Windward Islands late this weekend and then move across the 
Caribbean Sea much of next week. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

North Atlantic: 
A non-tropical area of low pressure is located well off the coast of 
the Northeast United States. There is a slight chance that the 
system could develop some subtropical characteristics during the 
weekend before it turns northeastward over cooler waters by early 
next week. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Kelly