222 
ABNT20 KNHC 162357
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

East of the Windward Islands into the Caribbean Sea:
A tropical wave currently located over the central tropical Atlantic 
is associated with a large area of showers and thunderstorms.  Some 
gradual development of this system is possible over the next several 
days as it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph. Regardless of 
development, heavy rainfall and gusty winds are possible as the 
system moves across the Windward Islands late this weekend and 
enters the Caribbean Sea by the early to middle part of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

North Atlantic: 
A non-tropical area of low pressure is currently developing several 
hundred miles to the south of of Nova Scotia, Canada. This system is 
expected to drop southeastward and then turn northeastward by this 
weekend, and some subtropical or tropical development could occur 
while the system moves over the Gulf Stream to the northeast of 
Bermuda. By early next week, the system will move further 
northeastward into colder waters, ending its chances for 
development. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin