122 
FXUS64 KMOB 031755
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1255 PM CDT Fri Oct 3 2025

...New Aviation, Discussion, Marine...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1205 PM CDT Fri Oct 3 2025

A weak upper low pressure area over southern Mississippi and
southeast Louisiana will slowly drift westward through the weekend
and then dissipate. A weak upper ridge will then build over the 
Deep South and northern Gulf through the middle of next week. A 
series of low to mid-level easterly waves will continue to move 
over the Deep South and northern Gulf through early next week at 
the base of low-level ridge across the southeast states. A tight 
surface pressure gradient across our area will keep easterly winds
elevated through the weekend, especially for our coastal 
communities. These winds will then decrease Sunday night and 
Monday as the ridge weakens. Dry conditions will persist through 
the remainder of the week aside from isolated showers developing 
along the coast late Saturday afternoon into the evening hours. 
Better rain chances will occur late Saturday night through Sunday,
with mainly isolated to scattered showers and storms expected, 
with numerous showers and storms across our coastal communities. 
We will then see a diurnal pattern emerge Monday and Tuesday with 
daytime isolated to scattered showers and storms in the forecast, 
followed by drier conditions Wednesday and Thursday as the weak 
upper ridge builds overhead.

High temperatures in the lower to middle 80s through Monday will 
rebound into the middle 80s all areas on Tuesday, and from 85 to 
90 degrees midweek. Low temperature in the lower to middle 60s 
inland and the upper 60s to lower 70s along the immediate coast
tonight will rebound into the middle 60s to lower 70s through the
remainder of the forecast.

Beach Forecast: A High Surf Advisory for large breaking waves of 
4 to 6 feet in the surf zone remains in effect through Sunday
afternoon, while the High Rip Current Risk persists through 
Monday afternoon. The combination of the high breaker heights and 
HIGH rip current risk will result in dangerous swimming and 
surfing conditions along our beaches over the weekend into Monday
afternoon. Localized beach erosion is also possible. /22

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1205 PM CDT Fri Oct 3 2025

VFR conditions will prevail over the next 24 hours. Northeasterly
to easterly winds of around 10 knots will continue through much 
of the period. Winds may occasionally gust to around 20 knots, 
especially by Saturday morning. /96

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1205 PM CDT Fri Oct 3 2025

A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect for the Gulf through the
weekend as strong easterly flow persists at the base of a strong 
surface ridge across the southeast states. Seas will continue to 
range from 7 to 9 feet well offshore. Small craft should exercise 
caution over all bays and sounds due to a moderate easterly flow. 
Winds will gradually decrease Sunday night through Monday with 
seas slowly subsiding. A light to moderate easterly to 
northeasterly flow will follow through midweek. /22

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      67  83  68  81  69  83  69  85 /  10  10  30  60  40  50  20  30 
Pensacola   70  84  71  82  72  83  71  85 /  10  20  30  60  40  50  20  30 
Destin      70  84  72  83  72  83  72  85 /  10  20  30  50  40  40  20  30 
Evergreen   63  85  67  84  68  84  67  87 /   0   0  10  30  20  30  10  20 
Waynesboro  63  83  66  82  67  82  66  84 /   0   0  10  30  20  30  10  20 
Camden      62  83  66  84  67  83  66  85 /   0   0  10  20  20  20  10  20 
Crestview   64  84  69  83  69  83  68  85 /   0  10  20  50  30  40  10  30 

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...High Rip Current Risk through Monday afternoon for ALZ265-266.

     High Surf Advisory until 6 PM CDT Sunday for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk through Monday afternoon for FLZ202-204-
     206.

     High Surf Advisory until 6 PM CDT Sunday for FLZ202-204-206.

MS...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM CDT Sunday for GMZ650-655-670-
     675.

&&

$$

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