National Weather Service Text Product
AFOS product AFDEPZ
Dates interpreted at 00:00 UTCDisplaying AFOS PIL: AFDEPZ
Product Timestamp: 2025-10-03 17:24 UTC
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299 FXUS64 KEPZ 031724 AFDEPZ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM 1124 AM MDT Fri Oct 3 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1123 AM MDT Fri Oct 3 2025 - Warm and dry weather through the weekend. Lowland highs in the upper eighties/lower nineties. - Breezy conditions Saturday. - Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms for the middle part of next week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1123 AM MDT Fri Oct 3 2025 An upper trough will continue to progress eastward over central California and Nevada today and will skirt by to the north of the are Saturday. Lee troughing in northeast CO will set up Saturday afternoon allowing for breezy southwest winds. Wind speeds will be around 10-20 mph sustained with gusts 20-30 mph. Blowing dust isn't widely expected but dust sources have been very sensitive this year. If soils are dry enough, perhaps some patchy blowing dust is possible. The area will remain in southwesterly flow Sunday and Monday. A new upper low develops in central CA and NV Monday and Tuesday. Meanwhile, high pressure reestablishes itself over the Gulf of Mexico Tuesday funneling in moisture over the Borderland. This will allow for isolated to scattered thunderstorms that afternoon and even into Wednesday as somewhat similar conditions will continue to be in place. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1123 AM MDT Fri Oct 3 2025 VFR conditions will persist with FEW100 expected around terminals this afternoon with southeast to southerly breezes. Quiet conditions overnight with light winds AOB 7KT. No precipitation expected near terminals but virga showers expected closer towards the Continental Divide this afternoon and evening. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 1123 AM MDT Fri Oct 3 2025 Low end fire danger expected tomorrow afternoon due to breezy conditions (20 foot winds 10-17 mph) combined with min RHs of 18-24% (lowlands). Very similar min RHs expected Sunday afternoon but 20 foot wind speeds will be lowered (generally 5-10 mph but isolated locations could see 15 mph winds over the eastern portions of the Black Range. Min RHs will be 20-30% in the lowlands and 40-50% in the mountains Monday with dry conditions and light afternoon breezes. Rain chances return Tuesday and Wednesday which increases min RHs both days to 25-35% in the lowlands and 50-65% in the mountains. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... El Paso 91 67 89 66 / 0 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 85 58 86 59 / 0 0 0 0 Las Cruces 87 57 84 58 / 0 0 0 0 Alamogordo 86 60 85 60 / 0 0 0 0 Cloudcroft 63 44 63 44 / 0 0 0 0 Truth or Consequences 84 54 84 55 / 0 0 0 0 Silver City 79 51 76 51 / 0 20 0 0 Deming 89 54 86 56 / 0 0 0 0 Lordsburg 85 55 83 56 / 20 20 0 0 West El Paso Metro 88 66 86 66 / 0 0 0 0 Dell City 88 60 88 61 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 92 65 91 66 / 0 0 0 0 Loma Linda 81 59 81 61 / 0 0 0 0 Fabens 91 64 89 65 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 87 62 85 61 / 0 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 87 62 86 63 / 0 0 0 0 Jornada Range 86 58 84 59 / 0 0 0 0 Hatch 89 55 86 56 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 89 59 87 60 / 0 0 0 0 Orogrande 85 59 84 59 / 0 0 0 0 Mayhill 74 49 75 48 / 0 0 0 0 Mescalero 76 49 74 49 / 0 0 0 0 Timberon 72 47 72 48 / 0 0 0 0 Winston 77 43 76 45 / 0 0 0 0 Hillsboro 84 52 82 54 / 0 0 0 0 Spaceport 84 54 83 56 / 0 0 0 0 Lake Roberts 79 45 77 46 / 0 20 0 0 Hurley 82 50 80 51 / 0 10 0 0 Cliff 85 52 83 52 / 10 10 0 0 Mule Creek 80 48 78 49 / 20 20 0 0 Faywood 81 52 78 54 / 0 0 0 0 Animas 87 54 84 55 / 20 20 0 0 Hachita 86 54 84 55 / 0 10 0 0 Antelope Wells 86 54 85 56 / 10 10 0 0 Cloverdale 80 53 78 54 / 10 20 0 0 && .EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. NM...None. && $$ FORECASTER...37-Slusher