291 
FXUS61 KCLE 030739
AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
339 AM EDT Fri Oct 3 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure centered over the East Coast will remain nearly 
stationary through the weekend before slowly drifting east early 
next week. Late Monday into Tuesday, a low pressure system moving 
east will move a cold front east across the area through Wednesday. 
High pressure will return by Thursday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
High pressure will remain centered over the East Coast, extending 
west across much of the region through Saturday. This will allow for 
the prolonged dry period to continue with temperatures expected to 
once again warm into the 80s today and Saturday. Overnight lows will 
continue to remain cool in the 50s with the warmer lows across 
western counties. These temperatures are above normal for this time 
of the year with normal temperatures ranging in the mid to upper 60s 
for highs and low 50s for lows. This morning there is a potential 
for isolated patches of fog especially in NW OH with additional 
patchy fog possible tonight, but no extensive coverage of fog is 
expected.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
The aforementioned high pressure will linger through Monday as the 
dominant upper level ridge slowly begins to move east. By Monday 
night, an upper level trough should begin to impact the region, 
bringing the potential for scattered pre-frontal showers across the 
area Monday night. High temperatures on Sunday and Monday will 
remain above normal, climbing into the low to mid 80s with overnight 
lows through the period falling into the low to upper 50s. The 
warmest night will be Monday night ahead of an approaching cold 
front when widespread cloud cover will limit any rational cooling 
potential.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Confidence continues to grow that the prolonged period of dry 
conditions will come to an end in the long term period as a cold 
front moves east across the area on Tuesday into Wednesday. Highest 
potential for showers will occur along the front on Tuesday into 
Tuesday night, with a chance of showers lingering into Wednesday. 
Models suggest that precipitation totals will generally be 0.25-0.5 
inches, which will likely not be enough to provide relief to ongoing 
drought conditions. Will have to continue to monitor the QPF trends 
however given the uncertainty this far out. By Thursday, a Canadian 
high pressure looks to return and allow for dry conditions again and 
a shift back towards more seasonable temperatures. High temperatures 
on Tuesday will be the warmest before the front passes, climbing 
into the mid to upper 70s before cooling into the low to mid 60s by 
Wednesday.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z Friday THROUGH Tuesday/...
TOL expected to go down to LIFR FG after 08Z this morning,
lifting after 12Z. Outside of this, VFR expected at all
terminals with only high clouds today and tonight. Southeast
winds less than 10kts.

Outlook...Non-VFR will be possible with rain showers Monday 
night through Wednesday.

&&

.MARINE...
With high pressure in control off the mid Atlantic coast, winds
offshore under 10kts expected through Sunday night with wave
heights a foot or less. Winds increase to 10-15kts Monday
through Tuesday and wave heights slightly higher away from shore.
A late Tuesday cold front passage brings winds northwesterly 
10-20kts and wave heights increasing to 3-5ft Tuesday night into
Wednesday.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...04
NEAR TERM...04
SHORT TERM...04
LONG TERM...04
AVIATION...26
MARINE...26