634 
FXUS64 KEWX 030003
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
703 PM CDT Thu Oct 2 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Warm afternoons with cool nights are forecast for the next 7 
  days

- Slight chances of rain are forecast for Friday through early
  next week mainly across the Texas Gulf coast

-Slight chances of rain expand across most of South Central Texas on 
 Wednesday

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Friday night)
Issued at 1241 PM CDT Thu Oct 2 2025

Sunny skies are in store for the rest of today with highs 
potentially reaching the upper 80s across the Hill Country to mid 
90s over the Coastal Plains. Light and variable winds are forecast 
to dominate the local area through this evening. Later tonight 
through the overnight period, increased low level moisture is 
forecast to develop across some parts of the local area for partly 
cloudy skies. Overnight lows are forecast to range from the lower 
60s to lower 90s areawide. Clouds are forecast to dissipate mid to 
late Friday morning for mostly sunny to sunny skies. Friday's highs 
are forecast to reach the mid 80s to mid 90s areawide. During the 
mid to late afternoon, increased moisture arriving from the northern 
Gulf into the Texas coast, could combine with the seabreeze to 
generate isolated shower activity across the Coastal Plains and 
nearby areas. Overall, quiet weather across most of the local area as 
the subtropical ridge stays in control. 

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through next Thursday)
Issued at 1241 PM CDT Thu Oct 2 2025

Saturday's weather is forecast to be warm with highs in the mid
80s to mid 90s with slight chances of rain across the Coastal
Plains in the afternoon. Partly cloudy skies dominate for most of
the period.

Similar to Saturday, the early morning hours of Sunday are forecast 
to produce scattered to broken low level cloud coverage over a good 
portion of the local area. Clouds are anticipated to lift but 
keeping the partly cloudy skies across most of the local area as 
moisture slightly increases and provides enough instability for a 
few showers across the Coastal Plains mainly during the afternoon 
period.

A repeat of Sunday's weather is forecast for Monday and Tuesday with 
slight chances for rain across the Coastal Plains in the afternoons 
and highs in the mid 80s to mid 90s.

By Wednesday, the subtropical ridge strengthens over the local area 
while the upper level low across the Gulf southern states moves to 
the east and dissipates. An upper level trough is forecast to push 
across the Southern Plains mid to late afternoon. At the surface, a 
frontal boundary is forecast to push down over northern Texas and a 
mid level trough axis extends from the mid Atlantic states to the 
Texas coast. With this scenario in mind, expanded the slight chances 
for rain across most areas with the exception of portions of the Rio 
Grande and southern Edwards Plateau. Ridging strengthens again and 
back to dry weather for the latter part of next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 659 PM CDT Thu Oct 2 2025

VFR conditions continue through the period. SCT cumulus around 
8-9 Kft are expected each afternoon. Wind will vary from 
northeasterly (mainly PM) to southeasterly (mainly AM) across the
area but remain light under 10 knots through the period. A few
showers will be possible later in the day, and will probably
warrant a prob30 for one or more of the I-35 TAF sites at some 
point.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1241 PM CDT Thu Oct 2 2025

Fuels are forecast to be dry to critically dry across most of 
South Central Texas. With minimum relative humidities of 20 to 30 
percent at least through Friday, locally elevated fire weather 
conditions may be seen each afternoon. East to southeast surface 
winds will generally be less than 10 mph limiting critical or 
near-critical fire weather conditions. Minimum humidities will 
recover to above 30 percent most areas this weekend into next 
week. 

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              69  94  68  92 /   0  10   0   0 
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  67  94  66  92 /   0  10   0   0 
New Braunfels Muni Airport     67  93  66  92 /   0  10   0   0 
Burnet Muni Airport            67  89  66  88 /   0  10   0  10 
Del Rio Intl Airport           69  94  71  92 /   0   0   0   0 
Georgetown Muni Airport        67  92  66  90 /   0  10   0   0 
Hondo Muni Airport             67  94  67  91 /   0   0   0   0 
San Marcos Muni Airport        67  94  65  93 /   0  10   0   0 
La Grange - Fayette Regional   67  92  66  92 /   0  10   0  10 
San Antonio Intl Airport       70  93  69  91 /   0  10   0   0 
Stinson Muni Airport           71  95  70  93 /   0  10   0   0 

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...17
LONG TERM....17
AVIATION...18