National Weather Service Text Product
AFOS product AFDLZK
Dates interpreted at 00:00 UTCDisplaying AFOS PIL: AFDLZK
Product Timestamp: 2025-09-30 11:00 UTC
Bulk Download
Bulk Download Help
This bulk download tool provides the NWS text
in a raw form, hopefully directly usable by your processing system.
You can either provide a complete 6-character PIL/AFOS ID or provide
the 3-character base ID (e.g., AFD). The start and end
dates represent 00 UTC for those dates. The Zip format is useful as
the filenames will have the product timestamp, which is useful for
when the product format has ambiguous timestamps.
571 FXUS64 KLZK 301100 AFDLZK Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR 600 AM CDT Tue Sep 30 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1209 AM CDT Tue Sep 30 2025 -Sunny skies are expected through this weekend with a few afternoon diurnal cumulus and possible longer. -Mainly dry conditions will prevail through this weekend and possibly longer. -Temperatures are expected to be seasonably warm averaging roughly 4 to 6 degrees for high temperatures through early next week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1209 AM CDT Tue Sep 30 2025 High pressure continues to hold a firm grasp across much of the mid south early this morning. Latest deterministic guidance shows ridging will stay in place through Wednesday. By Wednesday night into Thursday, a weak upper disturbance will round the periphery of the upper trough over the east coast coupled with an increase in surface moisture bringing a chance for an isolated shower or thunderstorm on Thursday to parts of Arkansas. As previously stated, confidence model solutions for Thursday remains low. As the upper trough over the east coast moves off shore, an upper low/inverted trough forms over southern AL/N FL sometime on Friday into the weekend. The GFS solution shows the low/inverted trough meandering northwest into the mid south by this weekend and may bring some isolated POPs to the eastern part of the state. The ECMWF solution shows the upper low/inverted trough drifting westward along the gulf coast with no sensible impacts to weather in the state. At the end of the upcoming weekend into early next week, both the ECMWF and GFS solutions show a deepening trough over the western US, but vary on the eastward progression of the trough. This will allow south to southwest flow to set up over Arkansas with continued dry conditions and light winds. Temperatures will continue to be seasonally warm for late September into early October averaging roughly 4 to 6 degrees above normal for climatological highs each afternoon. Lows each night will range from the upper 50s to lower to mid 60s each night across the state through early next week. Dry conditions are expected to persist beyond Thursday through the rest of the period. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 551 AM CDT Tue Sep 30 2025 VFR conditions will prevail through the forecast period with some afternoon diurnal CU this afternoon. Winds will be light and variable at all terminals and prodominately out of the E/NE through the period. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Batesville AR 88 61 89 63 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 86 61 89 64 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 82 59 84 61 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 85 63 88 65 / 0 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 86 65 88 66 / 0 0 0 0 Monticello AR 89 65 91 67 / 0 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 85 61 88 63 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 86 60 87 62 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 89 63 90 65 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 88 63 90 66 / 0 0 0 0 Russellville AR 87 63 90 65 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 87 63 89 65 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 87 64 89 67 / 0 0 0 0 && .LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...76 AVIATION...76