AFOS product FWSBOU
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Product Timestamp: 2025-09-29 19:10 UTC

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FNUS75 KBOU 291910
FWSBOU

Spot Forecast for Never Summer...USFS
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
110 PM MDT Mon Sep 29 2025

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Winds at this time are approximated to be near 5 mph and generally
from the southeast or upslope and up-valley direction. Expect such
conditions to continue through the afternoon, with a transition to 
light downslope winds early to mid-evening (1800-2000). 

Moderately unstable conditions are producing isolated, weak showers 
over the higher terrain, mainly east of the Continental Divide and 
due west of the Never Summer Mountains into Jackson County. The chance
of any shower or thunderstorm impacts to the fire location remain
near 25% this afternoon. Brief gustier winds up to 20 mph can't be
ruled out if a thunderstorm develops in the vicinity. Any such activity
would move in from the S/SW.

Current humidity values near 60% will climb rapidly overnight, with 
excellent recovery above 90% anticipated. The low temperature tonight
will be close to the freezing mark. Tuesday, expect prevailing west and 
southwest winds through the day, with a slight increase in speeds in the 
afternoon relative to today. There will be a small chance (less than 20%) 
of a weak shower or thunderstorm after midday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of 
                    rain showers and thunderstorms until 1800. 
CWR.................5 percent. 
Chance of thunder...25 percent. 
Max temperature.....Around 56. 
Min humidity........47 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph with gusts to 12 mph
					until 1500, then variable around 5 mph through 
					1800. Gusty and erratic winds possible near any 
					thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 11 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1400, then fair until 1700, then 
                    poor. 

TIME (MDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 
Sky (%).........59  54  61  67  67  
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH 
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  
Tstm cov........SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH 
CWR.............5   5   5   5   5   
Chc of thdr (%).20  25  25  25  20  
Temp............53  55  55  54  53  
RH..............57  49  47  48  52  
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  S   S   
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   4   
20 FT wind gust.10  11  10  9   8   
Mix hgt (kft)...4.7 5.7 5.8 5.6 4.6 
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  S   
Transp wind spd.8   9   9   9   9   
Vrate kt-ft/1K..33  46  46  45  37  
SmokeDispersion.P   F   F   F   P   

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-50 percent).
CWR.................2 percent. 
Chance of thunder...10 percent. 
Min temperature.....Around 33. 
Max humidity........96 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 2 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......1400 ft AGL until 1900, then Below 1000 FT AGL. 
Transport winds.....West around 8 mph until 2000, then light until 
                    2100, then south around 8 mph until 0100, then 
                    southwest until 0300, then 8 to 9 mph until 
                    0500, then light. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor. 

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 
Sky (%).........62  55  48  38  24  19  13  10  8   9   9   10  
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH                                     
Weather type....RW  RW  RW                                      
Tstm cov........                                                
CWR.............2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   
Chc of thdr (%).10  5   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   
Temp............51  48  45  43  42  41  40  39  38  37  36  35  
RH..............59  68  76  79  79  79  82  82  85  89  89  92  
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  W   SW  
20 FT wind spd..5   3   3   3   2   2   3   3   2   3   3   3   
20 FT wind gust.7   6   5   5   5   5   6   5   5   5   5   5   
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.6 
Transp wind dir.W   W   SW  S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  
Transp wind spd.6   5   3   5   5   5   5   6   5   6   6   6   
Vrate kt-ft/1K..7   3   2   2   1   2   1   2   2   2   2   3   
SmokeDispersion.P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent) until 1200, then 
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of 
					rain showers after 1200. Slight chance of 
                    thunderstorms after 1200. 
CWR.................5 percent. 
Chance of thunder...20 percent. 
Max temperature.....Around 56. 
Min humidity........40 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........West 3 to 8 mph until 1000, then southwest 
                    5 to 8 mph with gusts to around 18 mph. Gusty 
                    and erratic winds possible near any thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL until 0900, then 2800 ft AGL 
                    until 1100, then 6100 ft AGL until 1700, then 
                    3600 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 9 mph until 0800, then light 
                    until 0900, then west 9 to 16 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1100, then fair until 1200, then 
                    good until 1700, then fair. 

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 
Sky (%).........17  21  14  12  21  30  51  51  51  53  54  55  
Weather cov.....                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH 
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  
Tstm cov........                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH 
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   5   5   5   5   5   5   
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   5   10  20  20  20  20  
Temp............34  34  36  40  46  50  53  55  56  56  55  54  
RH..............96  96  96  85  71  58  50  45  40  40  43  47  
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   3   5   6   7   8   8   8   8   7   
20 FT wind gust.6   7   8   9   12  15  17  18  18  18  18  17  
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.4 1.6 3.0 4.3 5.6 5.8 6.1 6.3 5.0 3.6 
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   
Transp wind spd.6   6   7   9   14  15  15  15  16  16  15  14  
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3   3   3   13  36  53  72  78  83  89  64  43  
SmokeDispersion.P   P   P   P   P   F   G   G   G   G   G   F   

$$
Forecaster...Rodriguez
Requested by...Olivia Camire
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2522719.0/BOU
.DELDT 09/29/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL concc@firenet.gov