465 
FXUS63 KFGF 280256
AFDFGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
956 PM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Near critical fire weather is expected across northwest and
  west central Minnesota Sunday afternoon.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 956 PM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025

RH (40-60 percent) and winds (5-10mph) have sufficiently 
dropped off this evening to quell any fire weather concerns for 
the overnight. Looks for lows to drop into the upper 40s for 
some with most only seeing low 50s while clear skies will allow 
for prime radiational cooling through due to very dry dewpoints 
not expecting any fog.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 332 PM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025

...Synopsis...

Ridging prevails across the Northern Plains today through early next 
week, bringing continued warm and dry weather to the region. Our 
next chance for precipitation looks to be late Tuesday into 
Wednesday as a shortwave moves through northwest Minnesota. This 
will be the first of several chances as we head into the second half 
of next week. As the H5 ridge continues east, southwest flow forms 
across western Canada and the Pacific Northwest. This will bring a 
potentially unsettled pattern into the area late next week and into 
the weekend.

...Near Critical Fire Weather Through Late this Afternoon...

RH values are currently in the 20 to 30 percent range across much of 
the area, with northwest winds of 10 to 20 mph. Dew points will 
slowly increase into the 40s this evening and bring the RH values 
into the 40 to 50 percent range as temperatures fall. Winds are not 
expected to increase, although a few gusts just over 20 mph are 
possible.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 620 PM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025

VFR conditions for all through the next 24 hours with winds
(namely any gusts) posing the only hazards to aviation. Gusts
dropping off as we decouple in the next 1-2 hours for all but
TVF and possibly DVL as the ridge axis on the northwest of the
high pressure to the south keeps a stronger pressure gradient
across these sites overnight. Winds gusts return for all by noon
tomorrow with gusts of 15-20kts being widespread.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...None.
MN...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE...TT
DISCUSSION...Lynch
AVIATION...TT