AFOS product FWSTWC
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Product Timestamp: 2025-09-26 13:32 UTC

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157 
FNUS75 KTWC 261332
FWSTWC

Spot Forecast for Canelo Pile Burn...USFS
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
632 AM MST Fri Sep 26 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 MST on September 26. 

.DISCUSSION...An approaching weather system will bring a good
chance of showers and thunderstorms today with lesser chances on
Saturday. Thunderstorms will be capable of heavy rain and strong
gusty and erratic outflow winds.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and 
                    thunderstorms in the morning becoming likely
                    in the afternoon. 
Chance of pcpn......40 percent in the morning increasing to 
                    70 percent in the afternoon. 
Max temperature.....78-81 degrees. 
Min humidity........56-59 percent. 
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 
                    23 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near 
                    thunderstorms. 
Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL increasing to 4900 ft AGL this
                    afternoon. 
Transport winds.....South 13 to 17 knots. 

TIME (MST)      7 AM      10 AM     1 PM      4 PM      
Sky (%).........58        59        70        81        
Weather cov.....CHANCE    CHANCE    LIKELY    LIKELY    
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    
Tstm cov........S CHC     S CHC     CHANCE    LIKELY    
CWR.............40        40        60        70        
Temp............62        73        76        71        
RH..............93        63        57        67        
20 FT wind......S 12G17   S 13G20   S 13G23   SW 11G21  
Mix hgt (ft)....900       2700      4900      3100      
Transport wind..S 13      S 16      S 17      SW 17     

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms
                    likely in the evening, diminishing after
                    midnight. 
Chance of pcpn......60 percent in the evening decreasing to 
                    20 percent overnight. 
Min temperature.....55-58 degrees. 
Max humidity........97-100 percent. 
20-foot winds.......South winds 8 to 13 mph with gusts to around 18 
                    mph shifting to the southeast 7 to 12 mph with 
                    gusts to around 16 mph late in the evening. 
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near 
                    thunderstorms in the evening and overnight. 
Mixing height.......Lowering to 600 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 knots. 

TIME (MST)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM      
Sky (%).........74        57        59        36        
Weather cov.....LIKELY    CHANCE    CHANCE              
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    NONE      
Tstm cov........CHANCE    S CHC     S CHC               
CWR.............60        40        40        0        
Temp............68        62        60        59        
RH..............71        85        91        93        
20 FT wind......SW 10G18  S 10G18   SE 9G16   S 9G14    
Mix hgt (ft)....1500      800       700       800       
Transport wind..S 15      S 11      S 10      S 11      

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and 
                    thunderstorms. 
Chance of pcpn......30 percent increasing to 50 percent in the 
                    afternoon. 
Max temperature.....75-78 degrees. 
Min humidity........44-47 percent. 
20-foot winds.......South winds 9 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 26 mph 
                    early in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds 
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the 
                    morning. 
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL increasing to 6500 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....South 13 to 18 knots. 

TIME (MST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM      
Sky (%).........52        59        65        65        
Weather cov.....CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE    
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    
Tstm cov........                    S CHC     CHANCE    
CWR.............30        40        50        50        
Temp............57        67        73        74        
RH..............97        70        49        45        
20 FT wind......S 9G14    S 10G17   S 11G19   SW 11G20  
Mix hgt (ft)....700       3100      5400      6500      
Transport wind..S 15      S 17      S 18      S 15      

$$
Forecaster...FIRE WX FORECASTER
Requested by...Wes Gutweiler
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2522466.1/TWC
.DELDT 09/26/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL wesley.gutweiler@usda.gov

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