AFOS product FWFPSR
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Displaying AFOS PIL: FWFPSR
Product Timestamp: 2025-09-26 10:48 UTC

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FNUS55 KPSR 261048
FWFPSR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central
Arizona and Southeast California
National Weather Service Phoenix AZ
348 AM MST Fri Sep 26 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Expect fairly widespread showers and thunderstorms, a few severe, 
across the eastern districts today with strong outflow winds, 
hail, and heavy rainfall likely in some areas. MinRHs will range 
from 25-45% through the weekend. Outside of thunderstorm impacts, 
winds will be breezy at times with occasional gusts around 20-25 
mph today. The slow-moving low pressure system impacting the 
region should continue to bring chances for wetting rains areawide
on Saturday before drying conditions begin Sunday into early next
week. Below normal temperatures will persist through at least 
Monday.

...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds...

Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found
in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR.

AZZ132-262300-
West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix
Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/
Northwest and North-Central Pinal County-
Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ-
348 AM MST Fri Sep 26 2025

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Slight chance of 
  showers in the morning. slight chance of thunderstorms . chance 
  of showers in the afternoon. 
* Max Temperature.................87-94. 
*    24 hr trend..................12 degrees cooler. 
* Min Humidity....................21-40 pct. 
*    24 hr trend..................7 pct wetter. 
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. 
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 25 to 35 mph in the morning 
  becoming 15 to 25 mph in the afternoon. 
* Chance of Precip................20 percent. 
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent west portion...20 
  percent east portion. 
* Chance of Thunder...............16 percent. 
* Mixing Height for Phoenix.......7400 ft AGL. 
* Transport Wind for Phoenix......South 14 knots. 
* Dispersion for Phoenix..........Excellent. 

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. Slight chance of 
  thunderstorms in the evening. slight chance of showers . 
* Min Temperature.................67-77. 
*    24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. 
* Max Humidity....................61-75 pct. 
*    24 hr trend..................10 pct wetter. 
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 15 mph. 
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 15 to 25 mph. 
* Chance of Precip................10 percent. 
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent west portion...10 
  percent east portion. 
* Chance of Thunder...............12 percent. 

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of 
  showers and thunderstorms in the morning becoming chance of 
  showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. 
* Max Temperature.................84-91. 
*    24 hr trend..................4 degrees cooler. 
* Min Humidity....................32-42 pct. 
*    24 hr trend..................8 pct wetter. 
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. 
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph. 
* Chance of Precip................40 percent. 
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................40 percent west portion...20 
  percent east portion. 
* Chance of Thunder...............27 percent. 
* Mixing Height for Phoenix.......10500 ft AGL. 
* Transport Wind for Phoenix......South 9 knots. 
* Dispersion for Phoenix..........Very good. 


.EXTENDED...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 66-76. Highs 83-90. South winds 5 to 10 mph. 
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 66-76. Highs 87-94. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 65-75. Highs 88-96. South winds
5 to 15 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 65-75. Highs 89-96. 
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 65-75. Highs 91-98. 

$$

AZZ131-CAZ231-262300-
Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ-
Lower Colorado River Valley CA-
348 AM MST Fri Sep 26 2025 /348 AM PDT Fri Sep 26 2025/

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Sunny. Slight chance of showers 
  and thunderstorms in the afternoon. 
* Max Temperature.................89-94. 
*    24 hr trend..................10 degrees cooler. 
* Min Humidity....................25-30 pct. 
*    24 hr trend..................8 pct wetter. 
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. 
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 20 to 30 mph in the morning 
  becoming southwest 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. 
* Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming 
  10 percent in the afternoon. 
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. 
* Chance of Thunder...............10 percent. 
* Mixing Height for Yuma..........8200 ft AGL. 
* Transport Wind for Yuma.........West 8 knots. 
* Dispersion for Yuma.............Good. 

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. Slight chance of 
  showers and thunderstorms. 
* Min Temperature.................69-74. 
*    24 hr trend..................Little change. 
* Max Humidity....................66-80 pct. 
*    24 hr trend..................15 pct wetter. 
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 10 mph in the evening 
  becoming east after midnight. 
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 10 to 20 mph. 
* Chance of Precip................20 percent. 
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. 
* Chance of Thunder...............11 percent. 

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of 
  showers and thunderstorms in the morning becoming chance of 
  showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. 
* Max Temperature.................86-91. 
*    24 hr trend..................4 degrees cooler. 
* Min Humidity....................40-46 pct. 
*    24 hr trend..................16 pct wetter. 
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 10 mph in the morning 
  becoming south in the afternoon. 
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 10 to 15 mph. 
* Chance of Precip................50 percent. 
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................40 percent. 
* Chance of Thunder...............27 percent. 
* Mixing Height for Yuma..........4700 ft AGL. 
* Transport Wind for Yuma.........Southeast 6 knots. 
* Dispersion for Yuma.............Fair. 


.EXTENDED...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 67-73. Highs 86-92. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph. 
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 67-73. Highs 89-94. South winds 5 to
10 mph. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 64-72. Highs 90-95. South winds
5 to 15 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 64-70. Highs 89-94. 
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 64-71. Highs 92-97. 

$$

AZZ133-262300-
Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills-
Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/
CAZ-
348 AM MST Fri Sep 26 2025

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of 
  thunderstorms in the morning. showers likely . thunderstorms 
  likely in the afternoon. 
* Max Temperature.................74-87. 
*    24 hr trend..................11 degrees cooler. 
* Min Humidity....................43-59 pct. 
*    24 hr trend..................22 pct wetter. 
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 15 mph. 
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 20 to 30 mph. 
* Chance of Precip................80 percent. 
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................80 percent. 
* Chance of Thunder...............60 percent. 

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy in the evening 
  becoming partly cloudy after midnight. Chance of thunderstorms in 
  the evening. chance of showers . slight chance of thunderstorms 
  after midnight. 
* Min Temperature.................54-67. 
*    24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. 
* Max Humidity....................71-95 pct. 
*    24 hr trend..................Little RH change. 
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 15 mph. 
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph. 
* Chance of Precip................50 percent. 
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................40 percent. 
* Chance of Thunder...............36 percent. 

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Chance of showers 
  and slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning becoming 
  showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. 
* Max Temperature.................71-85. 
*    24 hr trend..................Little change. 
* Min Humidity....................35-51 pct. 
*    24 hr trend..................8 pct drier. 
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 10 mph in the 
  morning becoming south in the afternoon. 
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph. 
* Chance of Precip................50 percent. 
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................40 percent. 
* Chance of Thunder...............37 percent. 


.EXTENDED...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows 52-67. Highs 71-86. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph. 
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 52-68. Highs 75-89. East winds 5 to
10 mph. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 53-68. Highs 76-91. Southeast winds
5 to 15 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 53-68. Highs 78-91. 
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 53-70. Highs 80-94. 

$$

CAZ232-262300-
Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County-
348 AM PDT Fri Sep 26 2025

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Slight chance of 
  showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. 
* Max Temperature.................84-93. 
*    24 hr trend..................10 degrees cooler. 
* Min Humidity....................24-36 pct. 
*    24 hr trend..................12 pct wetter. 
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. 
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 5 to 15 mph in the 
  morning becoming north in the afternoon. 
* Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming 
  10 percent in the afternoon. 
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. 
* Chance of Thunder...............11 percent. 

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. Slight chance of 
  showers and thunderstorms. 
* Min Temperature.................67-74. 
*    24 hr trend..................Little change. 
* Max Humidity....................59-75 pct. 
*    24 hr trend..................13 pct wetter. 
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 10 mph in the evening 
  becoming north after midnight. 
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 10 to 20 mph in the 
  evening becoming east 5 to 15 mph after midnight. 
* Chance of Precip................20 percent. 
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. 
* Chance of Thunder...............11 percent. 

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of 
  showers and thunderstorms in the morning becoming chance of 
  showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. 
* Max Temperature.................81-90. 
*    24 hr trend..................4 degrees cooler. 
* Min Humidity....................36-49 pct. 
*    24 hr trend..................13 pct wetter. 
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 10 mph in the 
  morning becoming southeast in the afternoon. 
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 10 to 15 mph. 
* Chance of Precip................40 percent. 
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................30 percent. 
* Chance of Thunder...............27 percent. 


.EXTENDED...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers. Lows 66-73.
Highs 82-92. South winds 5 to 10 mph. 
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 67-73. Highs 85-94. South winds 5 to
15 mph. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 64-72. Highs 84-94. Southwest winds
5 to 15 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 64-71. Highs 84-92. 
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 65-73. Highs 87-95. 

$$

CAZ230-262300-
Joshua Tree National Park-
348 AM PDT Fri Sep 26 2025

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Slight chance of 
  showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. 
* Max Temperature.................75-86. 
*    24 hr trend..................9 degrees cooler. 
* Min Humidity....................31-41 pct. 
*    24 hr trend..................16 pct wetter. 
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 15 mph. 
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the morning 
  becoming north 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. 
* Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming 
  20 percent in the afternoon. 
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 percent. 
* Chance of Thunder...............16 percent. 

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. Slight chance of 
  thunderstorms in the evening. slight chance of showers . 
* Min Temperature.................57-69. 
*    24 hr trend..................Little change. 
* Max Humidity....................63-76 pct. 
*    24 hr trend..................11 pct wetter. 
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 15 mph. 
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............East 15 to 25 mph. 
* Chance of Precip................20 percent. 
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 percent. 
* Chance of Thunder...............9 percent. 

.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of 
  showers in the morning. slight chance of thunderstorms . chance 
  of showers in the afternoon. 
* Max Temperature.................71-83. 
*    24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. 
* Min Humidity....................43-55 pct. 
*    24 hr trend..................12 pct wetter. 
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 10 mph in the 
  morning becoming southeast in the afternoon. 
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............East 10 to 20 mph. 
* Chance of Precip................50 percent. 
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................40 percent. 
* Chance of Thunder...............26 percent. 


.EXTENDED...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 56-68. Highs 72-84. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph. 
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 55-68. Highs 74-87. Southwest winds
5 to 15 mph. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 53-68. Highs 73-87. Southwest winds
5 to 15 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 53-65. Highs 73-86. 
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 55-68. Highs 76-88. 

$$

.8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Friday October 3rd through Sunday October 
5th: Above normal temperatures and near median precipitation.