092 
FXUS61 KCLE 251334
AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
934 AM EDT Thu Sep 25 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
The upper level trough is currently over the Great Lakes region
and will be slowly moving eastward through Friday. High 
pressure will build in for the weekend with a weak cold front 
moving through Sunday. Early next week, high pressure will build
in north of the Great Lakes.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
930 AM Update...
Adjusted PoPs for this morning into the afternoon to account for 
current radar trends. PoPs have been more widespread in eastern
Ohio and should taper off into the afternoon. 

We are starting off this morning with patchy 
to areas of fog and mist. There are some patchy dense fog as 
well. As of this discussion, it doesn't seem widespread enough 
for an advisory at this time. We will continue to issue SPS for 
some fog through sunrise but keep an eye on trends if a headline
is needed. 

An upper level trough will continue to move slowly eastward 
across the Ohio Valley and eastern Great Lakes region today. At
the surface, an area of low pressure near southern Ohio will
track northeastward across the Upper Ohio Valley today. The
highest POPs for today will be along our southeastern CWA or 
mainly along a line from Mount Vernon to Ashtabula eastward. 
Average QPF will range between a tenth to half an inch of 
rainfall today. The upper level trough will begin to push 
eastward away from the region by tonight. With recent rainfall 
and wet ground, patchy to areas of fog may be possible once 
again tonight. Weak high pressure will build into the region on 
Friday. Skies will clear from west to east across the area on 
Friday. High temperatures today will be in the lower to middle 
70s. High temperatures on Friday will be in the middle to upper 
70s. Overnight low temperatures will be in the middle 50s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
High pressure will move into the region over the weekend and
bring quiet weather. An upper level low will slowly move from
the southeastern U.S. to the Mid-Atlantic region this weekend.
This upper level low may throw back some high and mid level
clouds over the area from time to time this weekend. Otherwise,
it should be fair weather conditions this weekend. High
temperatures will range from the middle 70s to lower 80s this 
weekend. Overnight low temperatures will be in the lower to 
middle 50s.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
An upper level ridge will develop over the Midwest and Great
Lakes region by early next week. High pressure at the surface
will keep the weather quiet and slightly above average
temperatures. High temperatures will range from the middle 70s
to lower 80s early next week. Overnight low temperatures will 
be in the lower to middle 50s. A backdoor cold front may slide 
across the eastern Great Lakes by the middle of next week with 
slightly cooler weather. The weather forecast looks to remain 
dry for the early and middle of next week.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z Thursday THROUGH Monday/...
Patches of locally dense fog continue this morning and are
currently bringing the largest impacts to KTOL, KMFD, and KYNG. 
Confidence in its coverage has been very low the past few hours 
due to rapidly advancing rain showers and associated clouds 
from the south, but rapid drops in vis are possible anywhere 
between now and 14Z. After that time, conditions will gradually 
improve to MVFR. The bulk of the rain showers will impact NE 
Ohio and NW PA, as well as the far southern tier of Counties, so
confined the showers to KMFD, KCLE, KCAK, KYNG, and KERI 
through early to mid afternoon, with the steadiest falling this 
morning. Drier air will finally work in from west to east this 
afternoon and evening as high pressure builds toward the Ohio 
Valley. This will allow VFR to return to all sites, but 
conditions are continuing to trend toward additional fog 
tonight.

Winds will turn generally NW and increase to 5-10 knots by mid 
morning as a weak cold frontal boundary slides across the area. 
This front will slow in speed, so winds may stay more westerly 
at KYNG and KERI through the day, while generally WNW winds 
continue elsewhere. Winds will become light W at all sites
tonight.

Outlook...Pockets of IFR or lower are possible in fog Friday 
morning, otherwise, VFR is expected Friday through Monday.

&&

.MARINE...
Quiet conditions will continue on Lake Erie over the next 5 days.
A weak cold front pushing across the lake this morning will 
veer winds to NW with speeds increasing to 10-15 knots. NW winds
will decrease to 5-10 knots tonight before becoming light and 
variable Friday as high pressure builds across the southern 
Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. Variable winds will then continue 
through the weekend with speeds averaging 5-10 knots as high 
pressure remains across the Ohio Valley until a stronger 
Canadian high dropping into Ontario and Quebec early next week 
allows for increasing NE winds Monday.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...77
NEAR TERM...77/23
SHORT TERM...77
LONG TERM...77
AVIATION...Garuckas
MARINE...Garuckas