AFOS product AFDLZK
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Displaying AFOS PIL: AFDLZK
Product Timestamp: 2025-09-25 11:38 UTC

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FXUS64 KLZK 251138
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
638 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 232 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025

-Shower and thunderstorm chances continue mainly for central to
 eastern Arkansas this afternoon

-Cooler than normal temperatures linger through the rest of this
 week

-Drier and calmer conditions expected this weekend as temperatures
 warm to above normal levels going into next week

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 315 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025

The overall weather pattern is turning much quieter, as the main 
low circulation that brought multiple rounds of rain over the last
few days across Arkansas is lifting north and east of the state. 
Some residual showery activity is remaining mostly across 
southeastern Missouri early this morning, but another mid-level 
wave swinging across the state today will promote some isolated to
scattered showers and thunderstorms, favoring eastern Arkansas 
mainly this afternoon. Temperatures this afternoon will range from
the 70s and 80s across lower elevations and 60s to 70s across 
higher elevations of Arkansas, which is several degrees below 
normal.

Mid-level troughing will continue to deepen across the
southeastern United States through the rest of this week, but the
favorable dynamics will remain east of the state, promoting a 
warming and drying trend going into and through this weekend as 
high pressure begins to build in from the west. High pressure 
will persist across the region into early next week, with a 
persistent amplified ridge aloft remaining mostly stationary 
across the Midwest during this period. The longer term outlook 
through the middle of next week is pretty good agreement on 
ridging remaining anchored across the eastern half of the U.S., 
which would prolong generally dry and warm conditions across the 
state.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 636 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025

IFR to occasional LIFR ceilings will persist over the next few
hours, posing as the main aviation impacts across most terminals
throughout the period. Conditions should then trend to VFR 
conditions by late morning at all terminals. Isolated to scattered
convection mainly during the afternoon hours will again bring 
some possibilities of brief lowering of ceilings and visibilities
before clearing out going into the evening hours, but 
probabilities are too low to advertise for this forecast package.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     80  57  82  55 /  30   0   0   0 
Camden AR         81  59  83  55 /  20  10   0   0 
Harrison AR       76  54  78  54 /  10   0   0   0 
Hot Springs AR    80  59  82  55 /  20   0   0   0 
Little Rock   AR  78  61  81  60 /  30   0   0   0 
Monticello AR     82  61  84  57 /  30  10   0   0 
Mount Ida AR      80  56  82  54 /  10   0   0   0 
Mountain Home AR  79  55  80  54 /  10   0   0   0 
Newport AR        79  58  82  57 /  30   0   0   0 
Pine Bluff AR     79  59  82  55 /  20  10   0   0 
Russellville AR   81  59  83  58 /  10   0   0   0 
Searcy AR         80  59  83  56 /  30   0   0   0 
Stuttgart AR      78  60  81  56 /  30  10   0   0 

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...77
LONG TERM....77
AVIATION...77