AFOS product FWSMSO
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Displaying AFOS PIL: FWSMSO
Product Timestamp: 2025-09-06 13:14 UTC

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FNUS75 KMSO 061314
FWSMSO

Spot Forecast for Wapiti Fire
National Weather Service Missoula MT
714 AM MDT Sat Sep 6 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 MDT on September 06. 
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Another warm and mostly dry day is anticipated.
Increasing mid-level moisture will lead to an increasing chance of
showers and thunderstorms mid afternoon through evening hours
(mainly 3pm-8pm) today and again on Sunday with a chance of
showers overnight. There is a chance of wetting rain but it will 
take a direct hit from the core of a thunderstorm. Watch for gusty
outflow of 30-40 mph near any thunderstorms, otherwise winds will
be light and terrain driven. 

A night-time inversion is expected tonight with only modest Rh 
recovery on the slopes with a gradual diminishing influence of 
night time inversions/thermal belts in the following nights, thus 
improved Rh recovery at night. 

The pattern change to cooler and wetter begins Tuesday and lasts
through the coming week. Temperatures return to seasonable levels
(highs in the upper 60s to lower 70s with daily min Rh of 45-55
percent. Daily wetting rain chances will be 40-60%. There is about
a 60% probability of at least 0.50" of moisture next week. 

.REST OF TODAY...

* Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy, mostly cloudy by late
  afternoon. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the 
  afternoon. 
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...Less than 10 percent. 
* Chance Lightning....20 percent. 
* Max Temperature.....85-90. 
* Min Humidity........19-24 percent. 
* Wind (20 ft)........Variable 2-4 mph becoming northwest to north
  5-6 mph in the afternoon with gusts to 14 mph. 
* Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl increasing to 9500 ft agl. 
* Mixing Winds........Southwest 5 mph. 
* Precip Amount.......0.00-0.05 inches. 

.TONIGHT...

* Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and 
  slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of 
  rain overnight. 
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...30 percent. 
* Chance Lightning....20 percent. 
* Min Temperature.....55-60. 
* Max Humidity........50-55 percent. 
* Wind (20 ft)........South 5-6 mph becoming variable 2-5 mph by
  late evening.
* Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl decreasing to 2000 ft agl in the 
  late evening and overnight. 
* Mixing Winds........South 5 mph. 
* Precip Amount.......0.05-0.12 inches. 

.SUNDAY...

* Sky/Weather.........Partly to mostly cloudy. Slight chance of 
  rain in the morning, then chance of showers and thunderstorms in
  the afternoon. 
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...30 percent. 
* Chance Lightning....30 percent. 
* Max Temperature.....81-86. 
* Min Humidity........30-35 percent. 
* Wind (20 ft)........Variable 2-4 mph becoming southwest to west 
  5-6 mph in the afternoon with gusts to 14 mph. 
* Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl increasing to 7000 ft agl in the 
  afternoon. 
* Mixing Winds........South 5 mph. 
* Precip Amount.......0.05-0.20 inches. 

$$
Forecaster...Booth
Requested by...Scott Woodin
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2521049.5/MSO
.DELDT 09/06/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL scott.woodin@usda.gov,jacob.mertens@usda.gov